Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-115) Cleveland (-105)

The Minnesota Twins (18-14) are on their way to Progressive Field on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (14-17). The line on this matchup has Minnesota at -115 while Cleveland is sitting at -105. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Sonny Gray and Logan Allen.

The Twins have tallied 47 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 40 balls out of the park. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .407 and have been called out on strikes 298 times, while being walked on 100 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are recording 4.5 runs per contest, which is 13th in the league. They have amassed 134 RBI's as well as 239 hits for the season, while their team batting average is at .232. They have racked up 140 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .309.

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The Twins are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.52 on the year (5th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 301 batters. Twins pitchers have allowed 29 home runs and also 117 runs in total (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 84 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.53 as a squad this year. Minnesota has allowed 233 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 108 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.58 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.15.

Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 18 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 20 holds over the course of the season (9th in baseball). The Twins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 35 save situations. They have compiled 9 saves over the course of the season and have blown 6 of 15 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 21 base runners on the year and 33.3% of them crossed the plate. The Twins have dispatched 88 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Twins have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,487 innings, ranking them 13th in pro baseball. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 829 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 249 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which has them ranked 19th in MLB, and they have twisted 21 double plays.

Gray has taken the mound for 1,422 frames and has accounted for 1,379 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Gray (94-77 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.63 and he has faced 5,914 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.49 (552 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.208. He has conceded 1,217 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 501 free passes.

The Guardians have a SLG% of .338 and they are recording 3.74 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have recorded 55 two-baggers, while taking a walk 114 times and scoring 116 runs. Cleveland has accounted for 17 home runs on the campaign as well as 106 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 237 occasions (27th in the league) and have earned a total of 239 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled an OBP of .307 in addition to a batting average of .228 on the campaign.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.279 with a FIP of 4.17 as a staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 21st in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 272. The Cleveland pitching staff have relinquished 135 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.95 (123 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.30 (228 strikeouts against 86 walks). They have given up 31 HR's and they allow 4.34 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.3% out of their 33 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 46 times in high leverage situations and on 29 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 33 save situations, the Guardians have 14 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are ranked 14th in the league with a save rate of 63.2%, and they have dispatched 98 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 19 save chances and they have walked away with 12 saves.

Out of their 2,520 innings played, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 23 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (10th in MLB). The Guardians have racked up 298 assists, 14 errors and have a total of 840 putouts this season.

During his pro baseball career, Allen has given up 118 hits while totaling 68 punch outs in 96 innings. He has allowed a total of 63 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.661 and having a FIP of 5.6. His K/BB ratio is 1.62 and he has faced 438 hitters during his career. Allen (5-10 career mark) is the owner of a 5.89 ERA and has allowed 11.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-115)

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