Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+105) Cincinnati (-125)

The Minnesota Twins (79-72) are hitting the road to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they will take on the Cincinnati Reds (79-73). The line on this contest has Minnesota at +105 while Cincinnati is coming in at -125. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Bailey Ober and Hunter Greene.

The Twins have tallied 249 doubles as a squad and have hit 215 baseballs out of the stadium. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .424 and have struck out 1,551 times, while being walked on 536 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in baseball. They have recorded 679 RBI's and 1,234 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is .241. They have 708 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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The Twins hold a team ERA of 3.92 on the year (7th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,419 hitters. Twins pitchers have surrendered 180 long balls and 622 total runs (5th in baseball). They have walked 416 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a squad this year. Minnesota has given up 1,208 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 588 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.41 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Twins relievers have a save percentage of 55.7% and has entered the game in 139 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 runners this year and 28.7% of those players crossed the plate. Twins relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 111 times and also have had 173 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 450 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 76 holds on the season (18th in MLB). They have earned 34 saves so far this season and have not converted 27 out of their 61 chances to get a save.

The Twins have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs in their 12,159 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 4,053 putouts thus far, as well as 1,200 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which puts them in 6th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 112 double plays.

Ober (12-12 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.00 and he has faced 1,123 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 258 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 56 free passes. His earned run average is 3.75 (115 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.138. Ober has taken the mound for 276 innings and has 273 strikeouts so far in his career.

Cincinnati has knocked in 177 home runs for the year as well as 683 RBIs. They have tallied 248 two-baggers, while walking 517 times as well as earning 717 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an OBP of .325 and a batting average of .248 over the course of the season. The Reds have a SLG% of .412 and they are scoring 4.72 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have struck out on 1,401 occasions (5th in the league) and have accounted for 1,274 hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 755 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.71 (708 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 208 HR's and they allow 5.03 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.402 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.77 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (1,293 strikeouts vs 568 free passes). They sit at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,327.

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.6% out of their 294 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 227 times in high leverage situations in addition to 205 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 164 save situations, the Reds have amassed 86 holds and also 22 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league holding a save rate of 69.9%, and they have sent 560 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 73 save opportunities and they have come away with 51 saves.

Out of their 12,171 innings on the diamond, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (18th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 116 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (20th in professional baseball). The Reds have racked up 1,210 assists, 85 errors and have a total of 4,057 putouts for the year.

Thus far in his career, Greene has allowed 195 hits while accumulating 293 K's in 222 frames. He has given up a total of 110 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has faced 960 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Greene (9-19 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.45 ERA and has given up 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-125)

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