Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (78-73) host the Minnesota Twins (79-71) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The starting pitchers are Kenta Maeda and Ben Lively.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 12th in baseball. They have accounted for 705 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .323. The Twins have hit 248 doubles as a team and have hit 213 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 676 runs batted in and 1,229 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average is sitting at .242. Minnesota has a slugging rate of .425 and have struck out 1,542 times, while taking a walk on 535 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.44 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers have given up 179 home runs and 615 runs (4th in the league). Minnesota has allowed 1,199 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 581 earned runs. The Twins are sitting with a team ERA of 3.89 on the season (6th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,412 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 411 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.94 as a squad for the season.

The Twins have dispatched 449 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 base runners this year with 28.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 34 saves so far this season and have blown 27 of their 61 save opportunities. The Twins relievers have compiled a save rate of 55.7% and has come into the game in 139 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 76 holds so far this season (18th in baseball). Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 111 times and also have had 173 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,087 innings, which has them sitting 8th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 4,029 putouts this season, in addition to 1,193 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which is 6th in MLB, and have a total of 111 double plays.

Maeda has pitched in 858 innings and has tallied 938 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.94 (376 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.146. He has given up 738 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 245 walks. Maeda (64-48 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.75 while facing 3,528 hitters in the major leagues.

Cincinnati is sitting with 176 long balls on the campaign and 676 runs batted in. They have put up 247 doubles, while getting a free base 512 times as well as scoring 710 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an OBP of .325 and a team batting average of .247 so far this season. The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .412 and they average 4.70 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,394 occasions (5th in baseball) and have tallied 1,265 base hits.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.406 in addition to having a FIP of 4.78 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,322. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 752 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.72 (705 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,284 strikeouts against 567 free passes). They have surrendered 206 dingers and they allow 5.04 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball).

With 164 save situations, the Reds have 86 holds and also 22 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 73 save opportunities and they have recorded 51 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 227 times in high leverage situations and also on 205 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 294 inherited runners. They sit at 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 69.9%, and they have sent 558 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 116 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in MLB). The Reds have 1,205 assists, 84 errors and have 4,030 putouts on the season. In 12,090 innings on the field, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (18th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Lively has allowed 221 base knocks while he has accumulated 153 punch outs in 201 innings. Lively (8-17 career record) has a 4.97 earned run average and has conceded 9.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 111 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.388 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and he has gone up against 870 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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