Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 9/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-148) Chicago (+124)

The Chicago White Sox (56-92) will compete against the Minnesota Twins (78-70) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Twins at -148 and the White Sox are opening at +124. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Sonny Gray and Dylan Cease.

Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .426 and have been called out on strikes 1,522 times, while being walked on 525 occasions. They have accounted for 668 RBI's and 1,213 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate is .242. The Twins have earned 246 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 211 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 695 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.7 runs per contest, which has them at 12th in MLB.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.40 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers have relinquished 177 long balls and 608 runs in total (4th in the league). Minnesota has conceded 1,182 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 574 earned runs. The Twins hold a team ERA of 3.90 over the course of the season (5th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,393 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 410 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a squad on the campaign.

The Twins have dispatched 445 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 base runners for the season and 28.7% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 34 saves for the year and have not converted 27 of their 61 save opportunities. The Twins bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 55.7% and stepped onto the hill in 139 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 76 holds on the campaign (18th in baseball). Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 111 times as well as having 173 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have transformed 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,934 innings, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have earned 3,978 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,173 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which is 6th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 108 double plays.

Gray (97-84 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.59 while going up against 6,463 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 1,336 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 543 walks. His ERA is 3.50 (604 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.209. Gray has taken the hill for 1,554 frames and is sitting with 1,503 K's so far in his career.

Chicago has a total of 159 home runs for the season as well as 581 runs batted in. They have hit 243 two-baggers, while getting a free base 346 times as well as earning 605 runs. The Chicago White Sox have accounted for a team OBP of .293 as well as a batting average of .239 this year. The White Sox have a SLG% of .387 and they are recording 4.09 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,298 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned 1,205 base knocks.

The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.424 and have a FIP of 4.74 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are currently ranked 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,265. The Chicago pitching staff have yielded 778 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.94 (719 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (1,372 strikeouts vs 599 walks). They have allowed 202 homers and they give up 5.35 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).

Chicago bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.7% out of their 207 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations and on 142 occasions with base runners. With 119 save situations, the White Sox have compiled 66 holds and also 27 blown saves. They sit at 30th in MLB with a save percentage of 48.1%, and they have dispatched 475 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 52 save opportunities and they have earned 25 saves.

Out of their 11,787 innings on the diamond, the White Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (24th in baseball). The Chicago White Sox have turned 105 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The White Sox have accrued 1,113 assists, 85 errors and have a tally of 3,929 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Cease has allowed 551 base hits while earning 769 K's in 640 innings. Cease (43-33 mark in his career) has a 3.88 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 276 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.313 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.66 and he has gone up against 2,746 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+124)

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