Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 5/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-140) Chicago (+120)

The Minnesota Twins (17-13) are hitting the road to Guaranteed Rate Field on Thursday where they will play the Chicago White Sox (9-21). The line on this contest has Minnesota at -140 and Chicago is sitting at +120. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Pablo Lopez and Lucas Giolito.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.5 runs per contest, which puts them at 13th in the league. They have racked up 136 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .307. The Twins have accumulated 45 doubles as a team and have hit 39 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 130 RBI's in addition to 231 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .232. Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .407 and have been called out on strikes 286 times, while drawing a walk on 94 occasions.

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The Twins have a team ERA of 3.42 so far this season (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 293 batters. Twins pitchers have allowed 28 home runs and also 111 runs (7th in the league). They have walked 81 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.52 as a team over the course of the season. Minnesota has yielded 221 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 102 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.62 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.13.

The Twins have sent 85 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 20 runners this year with 35.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have 9 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 6 of their 15 chances to save the game. The Twins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 60.0% and stepped onto the hill in 35 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 20 holds so far this year (8th in baseball). Twins pitchers have come into the game with players on base 17 times as well as having 31 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 805 putouts thus far, in addition to 240 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which puts them in 20th in baseball, and have accumulated 21 double plays. The Twins have transformed 70.4% of balls in play into outs in their 2,415 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 9th in professional baseball.

Lopez has thrown 546 frames and is sitting with 535 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.94 (239 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.181. He has given up 494 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 151 walks. Lopez (30-33 career mark) has a FIP of 3.72 and he has faced 2,258 batters during his time in the majors.

The Chicago White Sox have an on-base percentage of .295 in addition to a batting average of .233 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 258 occasions (16th in the league) and have a total of 240 hits. Chicago has 29 home runs this year as well as 118 RBIs. The White Sox have a team slugging % of .375 and they average 4.03 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have tallied 57 doubles, while taking a walk 78 times and racking up 121 runs.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 185 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 5.80 (169 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 49 long balls and they concede 6.35 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The White Sox have a team WHIP of 1.560 in addition to having a FIP of 5.27 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 10.20 (296 strikeouts vs 129 bases on balls). They rank 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 280.

Sitting with 28 save situations, the White Sox have earned 19 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 9 save opportunities and they have recorded 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 41 times in high leverage situations and on 32 occasions with runners on. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 49.0% out of 51 inherited runners. They are ranked 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 33.3%, and they have sent 109 relievers to the mound on the season.

In 2,361 innings played, the White Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 65.9% (29th in baseball). The Chicago White Sox have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in pro baseball). The White Sox have accrued 211 assists, 15 errors and have accumulated 787 putouts this season.

During his career, Giolito has allowed 752 hits while he has earned 907 strikeouts in 864 frames. Giolito (54-49 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.32 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 415 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.238 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.85 and he has faced 3,613 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (+120)

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