Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-105) Baltimore (-115)

The Baltimore Orioles (48-31) will take on the Minnesota Twins (40-42) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Minnesota at -105 and Baltimore is sitting at -115. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Bailey Ober and Kyle Bradish.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 21st in baseball. They have a total of 343 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .308. The Twins have recorded 133 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 104 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 326 RBI's in addition to 635 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .231. Minnesota is slugging .398 and have been called out on strikes 838 times, while drawing a walk on 272 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.34 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Twins pitchers have allowed 85 home runs and 319 total runs (2nd in baseball). Minnesota has given up 635 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 301 earned runs. The Twins are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.70 on the campaign (4th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 776 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 232 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a unit on the year.

The Twins have sent 240 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 83 runners this year and 31.3% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 17 saves so far this season and have blown 15 of their 32 chances to get a save. The Twins relievers have recorded a save rate of 53.1% and stepped onto the hill in 72 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 40 holds so far this season (20th in baseball). Twins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 62 times in addition to having 81 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Twins have turned 69.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,597 innings, which has them ranked 8th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 2,199 putouts so far this season, as well as 639 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which is 19th in MLB, and have 59 double plays.

Ober has pitched in 218 innings and has tallied 213 K's in his MLB career. Ober (9-10 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.83 while he has faced 879 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.55 (86 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.106. He has surrendered 196 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 45 walks.

The Baltimore Orioles have recorded an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .253 this season. They have been rung up on 650 occasions (24th in MLB) and have recorded 675 base hits. Baltimore has tallied 95 home runs over the course of the season and 375 runs batted in. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .423 and they average 4.91 runs per contest (8th in baseball). They have hit 144 two-baggers, while getting a free base 264 times as well as notching 388 runs.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.325 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.30 (734 strikeouts vs 247 bases on balls). They are sitting at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 694. They have conceded 95 HR's and they surrender 4.58 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 361 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.28 (338 earned runs allowed).

Baltimore has had relief pitchers take the mound in 41 save chances and they have recorded 25 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 282 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 109 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.5% out of their 158 inherited runners. Sitting with 110 save situations, the Orioles have earned 67 holds and also 16 blown saves.

In their 6,393 innings played, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (26th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 72 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 666 assists, 33 errors and have 2,131 putouts over the course of the season.

Bradish (8-10 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.46 ERA while surrendering 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and he has faced 806 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 94 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.323 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. During his career, Bradish has allowed 185 base hits while totaling 178 K's in 189 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-105)

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