Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

Date: Monday, July 31, 2023

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-46) are en route to Nationals Park on Monday where they will take on the Washington Nationals (43-60). The expected starting pitchers will be Corbin Burnes and Jake Irvin.

The Brewers have earned 148 doubles as a team and have knocked 107 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .376 and have struck out 942 times, while being walked on 363 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have accounted for 406 RBI's and 785 hits for the year, and their team batting average comes in at .232. They have accumulated 423 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .311.

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The Brewers have compiled a team ERA of 3.89 this season (9th in MLB), and they have rung up 876 batters. Brewers pitchers have given up 124 home runs and 426 total runs (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 315 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.32 as a unit on the campaign. Milwaukee has allowed 802 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 396 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22.

Brewers pitchers have entered the game with runners on 76 times as well as having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 66 holds so far this season (5th in the league). The Brewers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 72.3% and has entered the game in 114 save situations. They have earned 34 saves so far this year and have blown 13 of 47 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners over the course of the season and 28.4% of those players crossed home plate. The Brewers have sent 326 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Brewers have transformed 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,241 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 2,747 putouts this season, in addition to 890 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 9th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 75 double plays.

Burnes has pitched in 643 innings and has accumulated 801 strikeouts during his MLB career. Burnes (44-25 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.05 and he has gone up against 2,596 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.26 (233 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.048. He has allowed 491 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 183 walks.

The Nationals hold a slugging percentage of .401 and they average 4.29 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have put up 182 two-baggers, while getting a free base 257 times and notching 442 runs. Washington has compiled 92 long balls for the year to go along with 422 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 722 instances (29th in MLB) and have recorded 918 base hits. The Washington Nationals are sitting with a team OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .261 on the year.

The Nationals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.489 with a FIP of 5.07 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They sit at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 969. The Washington pitching staff have allowed 534 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.93 (497 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.60 (768 strikeouts vs 382 free passes). They have allowed 145 home runs and they yield 5.30 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

Washington has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 47 save opportunities and they have converted 27 saves. They are ranked 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 57.4%, and they have dispatched 320 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 104 times in high leverage situations and on 94 occasions with runners on. Washington relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.1% out of 154 inherited runners. With 96 save situations, the Nationals have earned 49 holds and 20 blown saves.

In 8,166 innings played, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (28th in baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 103 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 953 assists, 57 errors and have amassed 2,722 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his career, Irvin has given up 74 hits while he has totaled 60 K's in 74 innings. He has surrendered 41 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.426 and having a FIP of 5.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.88 and he has faced 327 hitters in his MLB career. Irvin (3-5 record in his career) has earned a 4.96 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington

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