Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+165) San Diego (-195)

The San Diego Padres (7-8) are welcoming the Milwaukee Brewers (10-4) at Petco Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at +165 and the Padres are priced at -195. The betting total comes in at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Wade Miley and Yu Darvish.

The Brewers have accounted for 19 doubles as a squad and have hit 20 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .441 and have been rung up 123 times, while taking a walk on 62 occasions. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 10th in the league. They have accrued 73 runs batted in in addition to 124 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .267. They have 73 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .352.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.15. Brewers pitchers have conceded 13 home runs in addition to 39 runs in total (3rd in the league). Milwaukee has surrendered 100 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 38 earned runs. The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 2.76 so far this year (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 105 hitters. They have walked 43 batters and their FIP is 4.20 as a team on the year.

Brewers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 8 times as well as having 9 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 7 holds over the course of the season (17th in baseball). The Brewers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 80.0% and has entered the game in 12 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves on the season and have missed out on 1 of their 5 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 10 runners so far this season and 10.0% of those runners ended up scoring. The Brewers have dispatched 41 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Brewers have turned 73.1% of balls in play into outs in their 1,116 innings on the field, ranking them 2nd in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 372 putouts this season, in addition to 135 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them sitting 16th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 14 double plays.

Miley (100-95 career record) holds a FIP of 4.10 and he has faced 6,990 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,673 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 566 free passes. His earned run average is 4.12 (745 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.374. Miley has taken the ball for 1,629 innings and has racked up 1,286 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Padres have a slugging percentage of .409 and they earn 4.07 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have put up 28 two-baggers, while taking a walk 59 times as well as scoring 61 runs. San Diego has recorded 20 long balls this year as well as 57 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 128 occasions (10th in the league) and have recorded 111 base hits. The San Diego Padres have earned a team OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .228 on the year.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.426 and have a FIP of 4.72 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.30 (124 strikeouts vs 63 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 127. They have yielded 17 dingers and they give up 4.66 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 69 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.53 (67 earned runs surrendered).

San Diego has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have earned 4 saves. They sit at 19th in baseball holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have sent 44 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 17 times in high leverage situations and also on 10 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 42.1% out of 19 inherited base runners. Sitting with 17 save situations, the Padres have accrued 10 holds and also 3 blown saves.

In 1,203 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (14th in MLB). The San Diego Padres have turned 15 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .991 (7th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 151 assists, 5 errors and have 401 putouts this season.

Darvish (95-76 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.51 ERA and has surrendered 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.71 and he has faced 6,152 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 585 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.126 and a FIP of 3.5. Thus far in his career, Darvish has allowed 1,204 base knocks and he has 1,796 punch outs in 1,499 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-195)

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