Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, July 20, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+115) Philadelphia (-135)

The Milwaukee Brewers (52-43) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will play the Philadelphia Phillies (52-42). The odds on this game have Milwaukee at +115 while Philadelphia is priced at -135. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Corbin Burnes and Taijuan Walker.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are earning 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 25th in baseball. They have notched a total of 395 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .310. The Brewers have accumulated 131 doubles as a team and have hit 101 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 379 RBI's in addition to 721 hits for the season, and their team batting average sits at .231. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .376 and have struck out 876 times, while drawing a walk on 334 occasions.

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The Brewers have compiled a team ERA of 4.00 for the year (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 787 batters. Brewers pitchers have yielded 116 home runs in addition to 404 total runs (10th in the league). They have walked 301 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.44 as a team on the season. Milwaukee has given up 755 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 375 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Brewers have sent 304 relievers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 108 base runners on the year and 28.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have 31 saves so far this year and have not converted 12 of 43 save chances. The Brewers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 72.1% and stepped onto the hill in 105 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 61 holds over the course of the season (5th in MLB). Brewers pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 75 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have transformed 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of 7,593 innings, which has them ranked 3rd in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have a tally of 2,531 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 828 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 10th in MLB, and they have twisted 71 double plays.

Burnes (43-24 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.07 while he has gone up against 2,545 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 486 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 181 walks. His ERA is 3.31 (231 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.060. Burnes has taken the mound for 629 innings and has accounted for 785 strikeouts in his career.

Philadelphia has 106 home runs this year to go along with 413 runs batted in. They have 177 two-baggers, while taking a walk 282 times and recording 430 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .260 this season. The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .424 and they are scoring 4.57 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 857 occasions (11th in baseball) and have earned 845 base hits.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.241 and have a FIP of 3.96 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.20 (856 strikeouts against 272 free passes). They have a ranking of 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 763. They have given up 104 dingers and they give up 4.50 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 417 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.08 (378 earned runs surrendered).

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 36 save opportunities and they have walked away with 27 saves. They sit at 4th in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 308 relievers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 99 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 35.1% out of 111 inherited runners. With 78 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 42 holds and also 9 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 65 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (17th in MLB). The Phillies have 809 assists, 48 errors and have accounted for 2,503 putouts for the season. In 7,509 innings on the field, the Phillies have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (15th in the majors).

Walker (65-53 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.90 ERA and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has faced 4,189 batters during his career. He has allowed 433 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.229 and having a FIP of 4.2. So far in his career, Walker has surrendered 903 hits while earning 894 K's in 999 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-135)

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