Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, June 29, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+180) New York (-210)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (36-43) will attempt to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (41-38) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Milwaukee at +180 and New York is sitting at -210. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Adrian Houser and Max Scherzer.

Milwaukee has a slugging % of .370 and have struck out 748 times, while being walked on 271 occasions. They have tallied 304 RBI's as well as 583 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .226. The Brewers have earned 102 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 86 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 316 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .304. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are compiling 4.0 runs per contest, which has them at 26th in MLB.

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The Brewers have an earned run average of 4.04 over the course of the season (15th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 625 hitters. Brewers pitchers have yielded 101 home runs in addition to 341 runs in total (12th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 254 opposing players and their FIP is 4.60 as a team over the course of the season. Milwaukee has conceded 631 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 314 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.46 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Brewers have dispatched 250 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 92 runners for the year with 28.3% of them crossed home plate. They have tallied 20 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 9 of 29 chances to get a save. The Brewers bullpen have a save percentage of 69.0% and stepped onto the hill in 72 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 42 holds this season (15th in MLB). Brewers bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 63 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have transformed 71.4% of balls in play into outs in their 6,291 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 2,097 putouts this year, as well as 685 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 9th in MLB, and they have twisted 59 double plays.

Houser (25-31 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.21 while he has faced 2,008 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 448 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 191 walks. His earned run average is 3.98 (207 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.364. Houser has taken the hill for 468 innings and is sitting with 368 K's so far in his career.

The New York Mets have accumulated an on-base percentage of .318 as well as a team batting average of .240 this season. They have struck out on 619 occasions (27th in the league) and have notched a total of 628 base knocks. New York has a total of 96 long balls so far this season as well as 346 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .398 and they average 4.51 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have recorded 104 doubles, while taking a walk 261 times and earning 356 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.372 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.78 as a squad so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (663 strikeouts vs 286 bases on balls). They rank 17th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 654. They have given up 107 homers and they give up 4.86 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 370 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.58 (349 earned runs surrendered).

New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 29 save chances and they have earned 19 saves. They sit at 12th in baseball with a save rate of 65.5%, and they have sent 252 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their relievers have come in 75 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.9% out of 111 inherited runners. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Mets have earned 48 holds and also 10 blown saves.

Out of their 6,171 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (13th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 73 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 691 assists, 39 errors and have notched a total of 2,057 putouts on the season.

So far in his career, Scherzer has given up 2,247 base hits while totaling 3,269 punch outs in 2,752 innings pitched. He has allowed 958 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.077 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.56 and he has gone up against 11,121 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Scherzer (208-104 mark in his career) has earned a 3.13 earned run average and has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+180)

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