Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (79-74) host the Milwaukee Brewers (87-66) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The expected starting pitchers are Brandon Woodruff and Jesus Luzardo.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 17th in the league. They have notched a total of 686 runs while holding a team OBP of .318. The Brewers have recorded 234 doubles as a unit and have knocked 158 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 655 runs batted in and 1,215 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is .239. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .384 and have struck out 1,338 times, while drawing a walk on 555 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.93 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have conceded 187 home runs in addition to 616 runs (2nd in MLB). Milwaukee has relinquished 1,145 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 566 earned runs. The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.74 for the season (3rd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,342 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 458 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a team so far this season.

The Brewers have dispatched 488 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 159 base runners this year with 32.1% of them ended up scoring. They have 44 saves so far this season and have missed out on 24 out of their 68 save chances. The Brewers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 64.7% and has come into the game in 168 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 99 holds this season (3rd in MLB). Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 116 times in addition to having 169 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have turned 72.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,267 innings, which has them sitting at 1st in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 4,089 putouts this year, in addition to 1,334 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 10th in MLB, and have 105 double plays.

Woodruff (46-26 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.18 while facing 2,704 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 529 base hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 174 free passes. His earned run average is 3.07 (230 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.041. Woodruff has taken the hill for 675 frames and has accumulated 782 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .406 and they have an average of 4.16 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have put up 246 doubles, while taking a walk 398 times as well as earning 637 runs. Miami has hit 158 home runs so far this year to go along with 606 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,212 occasions (26th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,345 hits. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a batting average of .259 so far this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.286 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (1,404 strikeouts against 484 free passes). They are sitting at 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,261. They have given up 182 long balls and they surrender 4.50 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have given up 679 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.18 (631 earned runs surrendered).

With 156 save situations, the Marlins have 88 holds and also 28 blown saves. Miami has had relievers enter the game in 67 save opportunities and they have tallied 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 193 times in high leverage situations and also on 150 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.4% of 215 inherited runners. They sit at 22nd in MLB with a save rate of 58.2%, and they have dispatched 509 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year.

The Miami Marlins have turned 139 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in pro baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,340 assists, 93 errors and are sitting with 4,072 putouts this season. Out of their 12,216 innings played, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (21st in baseball).

Luzardo (23-27 career mark) has a 4.24 earned run average and has given up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.16 and he has gone up against 1,825 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 204 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.266 and a FIP of 4.0. In his pro baseball career, Luzardo has allowed 394 hits while he has accumulated 487 strikeouts in 433 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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