Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 22, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Milwaukee Brewers (86-66) are headed to loanDepot park on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (79-74). The men taking the mound are Corbin Burnes and Johnny Cueto.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. They have earned 680 runs scored while having a team OBP of .318. The Brewers have hit 231 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 156 balls out of the stadium. They have 649 runs batted in in addition to 1,205 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is at .239. Milwaukee is slugging .383 and have struck out 1,332 times, while drawing a walk on 553 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have yielded 187 home runs in addition to 616 runs (2nd in MLB). Milwaukee has surrendered 1,139 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 566 earned runs. The Brewers have an ERA of 3.76 for the year (3rd in the league), and they have struck out 1,333 batters. They have walked 456 batters and their FIP is 4.23 as a squad for the year.

The Brewers have sent 486 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 runners for the year with 32.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 44 saves this year and have blown 24 of their 68 save opportunities. The Brewers relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 64.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 168 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 99 holds on the season (3rd in baseball). Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 116 times as well as having 169 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have converted 72.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,186 innings, ranking them 1st in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 4,062 putouts this year, in addition to 1,322 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which is 10th in MLB, and they have twisted 104 double plays.

Burnes has pitched in 700 frames and has earned 860 punch outs in his career. Burnes (44-27 career mark) has a FIP of 3.13 while he has gone up against 2,829 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.30 (257 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.054. He has conceded 535 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 203 free passes.

The Marlins have a SLG% of .406 and they are scoring 4.16 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have recorded 246 two-baggers, while taking a walk 398 times and notching 637 runs. Miami has hit 158 home runs on the season to go along with 606 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,212 instances (25th in baseball) and have totaled 1,345 hits. The Miami Marlins have tallied an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .259 this season.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.286 in addition to having a FIP of 4.14 as a staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.30 (1,404 strikeouts against 484 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 16th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,261. They have relinquished 182 dingers and they concede 4.50 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have conceded 679 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.18 (631 earned runs relinquished).

Miami relievers have an inherited score rate of 28.4% out of 215 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 193 times in high leverage situations and on 150 occasions with base runners. With 156 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 88 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 58.2%, and they have sent 509 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 67 save opportunities and they have converted 39 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 139 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,340 assists, 93 errors and have 4,072 putouts for the year. Out of their 12,216 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (22nd in pro baseball).

Cueto (144-111 mark in his career) has a 3.50 earned run average while conceding 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 9,302 batters during his career. He has allowed a total of 872 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.210 and having a FIP of 3.9. During his pro baseball career, Cueto has allowed 2,076 base knocks while totaling 1,847 K's in 2,239 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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