Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, July 15, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+105) Cincinnati (-125)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (50-41) will try to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (49-42) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Brewers at +105 while the Reds are coming in at -125. The total is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Freddy Peralta and Andrew Abbott.

Milwaukee is slugging .378 and have been rung up 846 times, while drawing a walk on 323 occasions. They have accrued 369 runs batted in and 695 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is .232. The Brewers have recorded 127 doubles as a unit and have hit 97 balls out of the stadium. They have 384 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 21st in MLB.

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The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 4.10 over the course of the season (15th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 743 hitters. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 114 long balls in addition to 397 runs in total (16th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 291 batters and their FIP is 4.51 as a squad this season. Milwaukee has yielded 733 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 368 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27.

Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 72 times as well as having 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 57 holds on the campaign (5th in MLB). The Brewers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 98 save situations. They have earned 28 saves so far this year and have blown 12 of their 40 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 103 runners over the course of the season with 29.1% of those players ended up scoring. The Brewers have dispatched 292 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Brewers have converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,278 innings, ranking them 2nd in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have a tally of 2,426 putouts so far this season, in addition to 801 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 12th in professional baseball, and have earned 70 double plays.

Peralta has taken the hill for 507 innings and has 646 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Peralta (35-24 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.61 while going up against 2,121 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.98 (224 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.160. He has conceded 378 base knocks (6.7 hits per nine innings) and has 210 walks.

Cincinnati has hit 98 home runs over the course of the season as well as 437 RBIs. They have tallied 162 two-baggers, while taking a walk 337 times and notching 454 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .337 as well as a batting average of .257 on the season. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .416 and they average 4.99 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have struck out on 812 occasions (9th in MLB) and are sitting with 795 base hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.450 in addition to having a FIP of 4.75 as a pitching staff for the season. They rank 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 835. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 463 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.87 (439 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (768 strikeouts vs 341 bases on balls). They have conceded 120 dingers and they relinquish 5.14 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB).

With 99 save situations, the Reds have 50 holds and 13 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 47 save opportunities and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 137 times in high leverage situations and on 125 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.7% out of their 177 inherited base runners. They are ranked 5th in MLB holding a save rate of 72.3%, and they have sent 332 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 68 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 733 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 2,434 putouts this year. In their 7,302 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (25th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Abbott has conceded 29 base knocks and he has 48 strikeouts in 41 innings pitched. Abbott (4-1 career record) has a 2.38 ERA while giving up 6.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 11 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.032 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.43 and he has faced 166 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-125)

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