Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/14/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 14, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-115) Cincinnati (-105)

Great American Ball Park is the site where the Cincinnati Reds (50-41) will meet the Milwaukee Brewers (49-42) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Brewers at -115 while the Reds open at -105. The total has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Corbin Burnes and Graham Ashcraft.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have racked up 384 runs and have an on-base percentage of .312. The Brewers have recorded 127 doubles as a unit and have knocked 97 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 369 RBI's as well as 695 hits on the campaign, and their batting average is at .232. Milwaukee owns a slugging percentage of .378 and have been called out on strikes 846 times, while taking a walk on 323 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 114 home runs and 397 runs in total (16th in the league). Milwaukee has allowed 733 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 368 earned runs. The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 4.10 for the season (15th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 743 hitters. They have walked 291 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.51 as a unit on the season.

The Brewers have sent 292 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 103 base runners on the season and 29.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have 28 saves this year and have blown 12 of 40 save opportunities. The Brewers relievers have earned a save percentage of 70.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. The relievers have a total of 57 holds so far this year (5th in MLB). Brewers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 72 times and also have had 89 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Brewers have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,278 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 2,426 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 801 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 12th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 70 double plays.

Burnes has pitched in 623 innings and is sitting with 772 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Burnes (42-24 career record) has a FIP of 3.10 and he has faced 2,522 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.34 (231 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.064. He has given up 484 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has 179 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds hold an on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .257 this year. They have struck out on 812 occasions (9th in MLB) and have a total of 795 base hits. Cincinnati is sitting with 98 home runs on the year and 437 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging % of .416 and they average 4.99 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have put up 162 doubles, while getting a free base 337 times and scoring 454 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.450 in addition to having a FIP of 4.75 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (768 strikeouts against 341 bases on balls). They are sitting at 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 835. They have surrendered 120 dingers and they concede 5.14 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 463 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.87 (439 earned runs conceded).

With 99 save situations, the Reds have compiled 50 holds and also 13 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relievers step onto the mound in 47 save opportunities and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their relievers have come in 137 times in high leverage situations in addition to 125 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of 177 inherited base runners. They rank 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 72.3%, and they have dispatched 332 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 68 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in pro baseball). The Reds have recorded 733 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 2,434 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 7,302 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (25th in the majors).

During his career, Ashcraft has allowed 214 base knocks while totaling 132 K's in 186 frames. Ashcraft (9-12 record in his career) has a 5.50 earned run average and has allowed 10.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up 114 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.495 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.03 and he has gone up against 837 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-105)

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