Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, August 31, 2023

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

The Washington Nationals (62-71) host the Miami Marlins (66-66) at Nationals Park on Thursday. The starting pitchers are Braxton Garrett and Joan Adon.

The Marlins have hit 211 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 127 balls out of the stadium. Miami is slugging .400 and have struck out 1,045 times, while being walked on 339 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs per outing, which is 27th in baseball. They have 502 runs batted in and 1,158 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .258. They have tallied 528 runs while having a team OBP of .314.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.00 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers have yielded 155 home runs and also 585 runs in total (16th in baseball). Miami has conceded 1,082 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 546 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team ERA of 4.20 this season (17th in the league), and they have struck out 1,232 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 410 opposing players and their FIP is 4.07 as a squad over the course of the season.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 130 times as well as having 164 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 80 holds for the season (7th in baseball). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 56.9% and has entered the game in 139 save situations. They have accumulated 33 saves this season and have blown 25 out of their 58 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 184 runners on the campaign with 32.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The Marlins have dispatched 438 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Miami Marlins are sitting with 3,481 putouts thus far, as well as 1,150 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which ranks 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 114 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,443 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 22nd in the majors.

Garrett has taken the ball for 263 innings and has accumulated 265 strikeouts thus far in his career. Garrett (12-15 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.85 and he has gone up against 1,121 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.03 (118 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.297. He has conceded 272 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 70 free passes.

The Nationals have a SLG% of .399 and they are earning 4.36 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have 234 doubles, while taking a walk 342 times as well as scoring 580 runs. Washington has hit 121 home runs on the campaign as well as 549 RBIs. They have struck out on 948 occasions (29th in the league) and have 1,171 base knocks. The Washington Nationals have earned an on-base percentage of .318 as well as a batting average of .258 for the season.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.444 and have a FIP of 5.15 as a staff this season. They sit at 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,210. The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 675 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.87 (633 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (1,005 strikeouts vs 480 bases on balls). They have relinquished 202 homers and they surrender 5.19 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball).

Washington bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.9% out of 189 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 133 times in high leverage situations and also on 118 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 131 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 69 holds and 23 blown saves. They are ranked 17th in baseball holding a save rate of 62.9%, and they have dispatched 422 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Washington has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 62 save chances and they have earned 39 saves.

In their 10,452 innings played, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 123 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 1,216 assists, 72 errors and have accounted for 3,484 putouts on the season.

Thus far in his career, Adon has surrendered 99 base hits while totaling 84 punch outs in 94 innings. Adon (3-12 career record) is the owner of a 6.41 earned run average and has conceded 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 67 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.564 and a FIP of 5.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.75 and he has faced 430 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington

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