Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 6/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, June 18, 2023

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-165) Washington (+140)

The Miami Marlins (39-31) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Washington Nationals (27-41). The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at -165 and the Nationals are priced at +140. The total is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jesus Luzardo and Patrick Corbin.

The Marlins have hit 105 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 68 baseballs out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .397 and have been called out on strikes 578 times, while drawing a walk on 201 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 26th in the league. They have accounted for 264 runs batted in in addition to 603 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .256. They have notched a total of 280 runs while holding a team OBP of .319.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.79 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 75 home runs and also 309 runs (15th in MLB). Miami has given up 572 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 290 earned runs. The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.20 over the course of the season (15th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 654 batters. They have walked 234 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.00 as a unit on the season.

Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 74 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 43 holds over the course of the season (6th in the league). The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 64.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 74 save situations. They have tallied 20 saves this year and have blown 11 of 31 save chances. The relievers have inherited 114 runners for the season and 31.6% of them earned a run for their team. The Marlins have sent 242 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 1,865 putouts thus far, in addition to 621 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which puts them in 27th in baseball, and have accumulated 62 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,595 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 21st in the majors.

Luzardo (18-23 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.05 while he has faced 1,457 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 316 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 124 free passes. His ERA is 4.50 (172 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.278. Luzardo has taken the ball for 344 frames and has tallied 382 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Washington has compiled 53 home runs on the campaign as well as 273 runs batted in. They have hit 113 doubles, while walking 178 times as well as recording 286 runs. The Washington Nationals have accounted for an on-base percentage of .321 and a team batting average of .261 so far this year. The Nationals have a team slugging % of .388 and they score 4.21 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have been rung up on 472 occasions (30th in baseball) and have earned 608 base hits.

The Nationals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.463 and have a FIP of 5.01 as a unit on the season. They rank 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 615. The Washington pitching staff have allowed 335 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.64 (307 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 7.60 (502 strikeouts vs 257 bases on balls). They have relinquished 93 home runs and they relinquish 5.06 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.7% out of 98 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 70 times in high leverage situations and on 59 occasions with runners on base. With 67 save situations, the Nationals have accrued 33 holds and also 16 blown saves. They are ranked 25th in the league with a save rate of 52.9%, and they have dispatched 210 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Washington has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 34 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves.

The Washington Nationals have turned 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in the majors). The Nationals have accrued 652 assists, 43 errors and have earned 1,789 putouts for the year. In their 5,367 innings played, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (19th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Corbin has allowed 1,697 base hits and he has 1,517 K's in 1,616 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 778 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.354 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.08 and he has gone up against 6,943 opposing hitters during his career. Corbin (91-110 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.33 ERA while giving up 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-165)

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