Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

The Miami Marlins (53-43) are headed to Busch Stadium on Wednesday where they will try to beat the St. Louis Cardinals (41-53). The pitchers taking the mound are Sandy Alcantara and Dakota Hudson.

The Marlins have compiled 154 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 90 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .402 and have struck out 765 times, while taking a walk on 261 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 23rd in MLB. They have recorded 381 runs batted in and 863 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .265. They have 401 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .323.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.09 this year (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 894 batters. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 104 long balls and also 413 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 288 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.92 as a team on the campaign. Miami has surrendered 790 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 387 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 99 times and also have had 124 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 65 holds for the season (3rd in the league). The Marlins bullpen have earned a save rate of 63.6% and has come into the game in 109 save situations. They have earned 28 saves for the year and have not converted 16 out of their 44 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 145 runners on the year and 29.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have sent 330 relievers to the mound this season.

The Marlins have converted 68.1% of balls in play into outs in their 7,656 innings on the field, which has them sitting 25th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have earned 2,552 putouts thus far, as well as 849 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which has them sitting 23rd in the majors, and have earned 84 double plays.

Alcantara has thrown 836 innings and has accounted for 737 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.33 (309 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.160. He has given up 711 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 259 walks. Alcantara (37-51 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.74 and he has gone up against 3,423 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The St. Louis Cardinals have compiled an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .257 for the year. They have been rung up on 785 occasions (19th in MLB) and have tallied 826 hits. St. Louis has knocked in 128 home runs on the year and 429 runs batted in. The Cardinals have a team slugging percentage of .431 and they have an average of 4.71 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have put up 159 two-baggers, while taking a walk 319 times and scoring 443 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have relinquished 469 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.56 (420 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 92 dingers and they concede 5.09 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.455 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.20 (757 strikeouts against 323 walks). They come in at 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 883.

St. Louis has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 44 save chances and they have earned 23 saves. They rank 27th in baseball holding a save rate of 52.3%, and they have dispatched 286 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Their relievers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 109 occasions with runners on base. St. Louis relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of 181 inherited base runners. With 92 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 48 holds and also 21 blown saves.

In their 7,464 innings on the field, the Cardinals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.5% (30th in MLB). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 85 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 889 assists, 41 errors and have 2,488 putouts on the campaign.

During his career, Hudson has allowed 360 hits while accumulating 277 punch outs in 399 frames. Hudson (33-17 career record) holds a 3.56 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 158 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.362 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.51 and he has gone up against 1,698 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take St. Louis

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