Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+135) St. Louis (-155)

The Miami Marlins (53-42) are traveling to Busch Stadium on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the St. Louis Cardinals (40-53). The moneyline on this contest has Miami at +135 while St. Louis is at -155. The over/under comes in at 9. The men taking the mound are Edward Cabrera and Jordan Montgomery.

Miami is slugging .400 and have struck out 761 times, while being walked on 260 occasions. They have recorded 377 runs batted in and 851 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .264. The Marlins have hit 152 doubles as a team and have hit 88 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 397 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .323. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 23rd in MLB.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.08 so far this year (13th in baseball), and they have rung up 888 hitters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 104 long balls in addition to 407 total runs (15th in MLB). They have walked 284 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a unit on the season. Miami has yielded 779 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 382 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26.

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 98 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 65 holds this year (3rd in MLB). The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 63.6% and stepped onto the hill in 109 save situations. They have earned 28 saves for the season and have blown 16 out of their 44 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 143 base runners so far this season and 28.0% of those players ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 326 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Miami Marlins have earned 2,528 putouts for the season, as well as 841 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 23rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 83 double plays. The Marlins have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,584 innings, which has them sitting 21st in professional baseball.

Cabrera (11-12 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.88 while going up against 702 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 121 base hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 93 walks. His ERA is 4.15 (76 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.297. Cabrera has taken the mound for 165 frames and has earned 187 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Cardinals have a SLG% of .431 and they average 4.70 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have 156 two-baggers, while walking 315 times and recording 437 runs. St. Louis has accumulated 128 home runs for the year to go along with 423 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 779 instances (19th in the league) and have earned 815 base knocks. The St. Louis Cardinals have an OBP of .330 and a batting average of .256 on the season.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.455 and have a FIP of 4.19 as a staff on the campaign. They rank 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 871. The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 465 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.57 (416 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (753 strikeouts against 322 bases on balls). They have given up 90 home runs and they surrender 5.10 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB).

Sitting with 89 save situations, the Cardinals have accrued 46 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 22 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 108 times in high leverage situations and also on 108 occasions with base runners. St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.3% of 178 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 27th in the league holding a save percentage of 51.2%, and they have dispatched 283 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 84 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 873 assists, 41 errors and have accumulated 2,461 putouts during this campaign. In their 7,383 innings on the field, the Cardinals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.4% (30th in the majors).

Montgomery (34-30 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.75 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.41 and he has gone up against 2,793 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 279 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.216 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. In his career, Montgomery has allowed 628 base knocks while he has accumulated 635 punch outs in 669 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-155)

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