Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 5/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+100) San Francisco (-120)

The San Francisco Giants (21-23) welcome the Miami Marlins (23-22) at Oracle Park on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Miami at +100 and San Francisco is at -120. The total is 7.5. The starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Alex Wood.

The Marlins have tallied 72 doubles as a squad and have hit 41 balls out of the stadium. Miami is slugging .386 and have been called out on strikes 384 times, while taking a walk on 113 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.5 runs per game, which ranks them 30th in MLB. They have accounted for 150 RBI's as well as 374 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average sits at .249. They have a total of 158 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .305.

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The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.43 so far this season (20th in baseball), and they have struck out 417 batters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 55 long balls in addition to 211 runs in total (18th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 155 batters and their FIP sits at 4.31 as a squad on the season. Miami has given up 389 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 198 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.69 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35.

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 50 times and also have had 59 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 27 holds so far this year (7th in the league). The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 65.0% and stepped onto the hill in 47 save situations. They have earned 13 saves on the campaign and have not converted 7 out of their 20 save chances. The relievers have inherited 77 runners this year with 27.3% of those runners crossed home plate. The Marlins have dispatched 158 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Marlins have transformed 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,618 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have 1,206 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 399 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which is 23rd in baseball, and they have turned 42 double plays.

Luzardo has taken the hill for 318 frames and has tallied 348 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Luzardo (16-20 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.11 while he has faced 1,349 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.36 (154 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.292. He has given up 291 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 120 walks.

The Giants hold a team slugging percentage of .415 and they have an average of 4.41 runs per contest (17th in MLB). They have tallied 60 doubles, while getting a free base 146 times as well as scoring 194 runs. San Francisco has 63 home runs so far this year as well as 191 RBIs. They have struck out on 423 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have earned 361 base hits. The San Francisco Giants have a team OBP of .319 in addition to a batting average of .243 over the course of the season.

The Giants have a team WHIP of 1.351 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (372 strikeouts against 131 bases on balls). They rank 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 395. They have given up 53 long balls and they concede 4.93 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The San Francisco pitching staff have yielded 213 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.37 (189 earned runs relinquished).

San Francisco relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.9% out of their 69 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 43 times in high leverage situations in addition to 45 occasions with runners on. With 43 save situations, the Giants have accrued 21 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They sit at 9th in the league with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 134 relief pitchers to the mound this season. San Francisco has called on relievers to enter the contest in 20 save chances and they have recorded 14 saves.

The San Francisco Giants have gotten 44 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in baseball). The Giants have recorded 436 assists, 28 errors and have accumulated 1,169 putouts so far this season. Out of their 3,507 innings on the field, the Giants hold a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (25th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Wood has conceded 1,077 base hits while tallying 1,082 strikeouts in 1,136 innings pitched. Wood (71-60 career record) has earned a 3.67 earned run average while surrendering 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 464 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.230 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.37 and he has gone up against 4,759 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco (-120)

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