Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, August 23, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+110) San Diego (-130)

The San Diego Padres (60-66) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (64-62) at Petco Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +110 while San Diego is at -130. The total is 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Sandy Alcantara and Seth Lugo.

The Marlins have hit 203 doubles as a squad and have knocked 122 balls out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .402 and have been rung up 1,004 times, while being walked on 326 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have accounted for 490 RBI's in addition to 1,114 hits this season, and their batting average is at .260. They have earned 515 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.23 on the year (17th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,184 batters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 150 long balls and 559 runs in total (17th in the league). They have walked 396 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit on the year. Miami has surrendered 1,033 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 525 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.99 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 124 times and also have had 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 75 holds for the year (8th in MLB). The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 56.4% and has come into the game in 131 save situations. They have recorded 31 saves on the campaign and have blown 24 of 55 save chances. The relievers have inherited 177 runners over the course of the season and 31.6% of those players ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 419 relievers to the hill this year.

The Marlins have turned 68.3% of balls in play into outs in their 10,047 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 22nd in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 3,349 putouts for the season, as well as 1,107 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which ranks 24th in the majors, and they have twisted 111 double plays.

Alcantara has thrown 880 frames and is sitting with 779 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.29 (322 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.150. He has conceded 746 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 266 walks. Alcantara (40-53 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.75 while he has gone up against 3,593 hitters in the majors.

San Diego has recorded 160 home runs on the season and 549 RBIs. They have hit 215 doubles, while taking a walk 512 times and scoring 572 runs. The San Diego Padres have earned a team on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .238 on the season. The Padres hold a team slugging % of .410 and they score 4.54 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,030 occasions (21st in baseball) and have earned 995 base hits.

The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 511 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.81 (474 earned runs given up). They have yielded 140 homers and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 4.19 as a pitching staff this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,118 strikeouts against 422 walks). They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 998.

San Diego has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 51 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 56.9%, and they have dispatched 396 relievers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 118 times in high leverage situations in addition to 87 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.8% out of 134 inherited runners. Sitting with 119 save situations, the Padres have recorded 67 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 104 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in professional baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,113 assists, 51 errors and have 3,357 putouts so far this season. In their 10,071 innings on the diamond, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (7th in the majors).

Lugo (36-30 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.55 earned run average while surrendering 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.80 and he has gone up against 2,477 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 236 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.181 and a FIP of 3.7. During his pro baseball career, Lugo has given up 545 hits and he has 611 strikeouts in 598 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-130)

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