Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, August 21, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+150) San Diego (-180)

The Miami Marlins (64-61) are headed to Petco Park on Monday where they will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (59-66). The odds on this game have Miami at +150 while San Diego is priced at -180. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Johnny Cueto and Blake Snell.

The Marlins have tallied 201 doubles as a team and have knocked 121 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .403 and have struck out 992 times, while being walked on 323 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in MLB. They have tallied 488 runs batted in and 1,107 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .260. They have tallied 513 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .316.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.21 so far this year (17th in the league), and they have rung up 1,178 batters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 148 home runs and also 553 runs (17th in the league). They have walked 390 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.06 as a team over the course of the season. Miami has conceded 1,026 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 519 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.28.

The Marlins relievers have earned a save rate of 56.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 131 save situations. The relievers have inherited 176 runners for the season with 31.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Marlins pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 123 times in addition to having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 418 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 75 holds so far this year (7th in MLB). They have compiled 31 saves for the season and have blown 24 of their 55 chances to get a save.

The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 3,325 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,098 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and have 111 double plays. The Marlins have converted 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,975 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in pro baseball.

Cueto has pitched in 2,225 innings and is sitting with 1,838 strikeouts during his MLB career. Cueto (143-110 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.88 while he has faced 9,235 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.47 (859 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.206. He has surrendered 2,056 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 628 free passes.

San Diego is sitting with 158 home runs on the year as well as 543 RBIs. They have put up 214 two-baggers, while taking a walk 506 times and putting up 566 runs. The San Diego Padres hold a team OBP of .325 in addition to a team batting average of .238 on the season. The Padres have a team SLG% of .410 and they are recording 4.53 runs per game (15th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,024 occasions (20th in MLB) and have 988 base hits.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.270 in addition to having a FIP of 4.19 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,106 strikeouts against 419 walks). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 991. They have conceded 139 homers and they yield 4.13 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 509 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.83 (472 earned runs allowed).

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 38.8% out of 134 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 118 times in high leverage situations and on 87 occasions with base runners. With 119 save situations, the Padres have earned 67 holds and also 22 blown saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 56.9%, and they have dispatched 392 relievers to the hill on the year. San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 51 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 103 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (5th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 1,107 assists, 51 errors and are sitting with 3,330 putouts for the season. In their 9,990 innings on the diamond, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (7th in MLB).

During his career, Snell has surrendered 754 hits while tallying 1,165 strikeouts in 948 innings. Snell (67-54 career mark) holds a 3.30 earned run average while giving up 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 348 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.248 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and he has faced 3,945 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego (-180)

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