Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

The Pittsburgh Pirates (75-84) are welcoming the Miami Marlins (82-76) at PNC Park on Saturday. The pitchers taking the mound are Edward Cabrera and Quinn Priester.

Miami has a slugging rate of .406 and have struck out 1,265 times, while drawing a walk on 424 occasions. They have accounted for 624 runs batted in and 1,399 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate is .259. The Marlins have earned 254 doubles as a unit and have knocked 165 balls out of the park. They have racked up 657 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317. As a team, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in MLB.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.25 so far this season (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,458 hitters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 191 home runs and 714 total runs (17th in baseball). They have walked 504 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.17 as a squad this season. Miami has conceded 1,314 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 666 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.89 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Marlins have dispatched 530 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 base runners so far this year and 29.2% of those players crossed home plate. They have recorded 41 saves this year and have blown 29 of their 70 save chances. The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.6% and has come into the game in 159 save situations. The bullpen have notched 88 holds on the year (11th in the league). Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 157 times and also have had 203 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins have earned 4,228 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,383 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 24th in the majors, and have 142 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,684 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 21st in pro baseball.

Cabrera (13-14 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.80 while he has gone up against 826 hitters in the majors. He has given up 140 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 115 walks. His earned run average is 3.99 (86 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.314. Cabrera has taken the hill for 194 innings and has tallied 218 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .393 and they are earning 4.30 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have recorded 278 doubles, while taking a walk 546 times and putting up 683 runs. Pittsburgh has recorded 159 home runs on the season to go along with 657 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,432 occasions (10th in baseball) and have earned 1,268 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a team OBP of .315 as well as a batting average of .239 so far this year.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have conceded 779 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.62 (720 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 178 dingers and they concede 5.00 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.385 in addition to having a FIP of 4.43 as a staff on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,340 strikeouts against 590 walks). They are sitting at 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,353.

Sitting with 156 save situations, the Pirates have earned 86 holds and also 20 blown saves. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers enter the game in 66 save chances and they have earned 46 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 166 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of 227 inherited base runners. They rank 4th in MLB with a save rate of 69.7%, and they have dispatched 516 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign.

Out of their 12,627 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (18th in professional baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 129 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in baseball). The Pirates have 1,370 assists, 89 errors and have notched a total of 4,209 putouts for the season.

During his career, Priester has allowed 48 base knocks while he has tallied 33 strikeouts in 44 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 39 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.657 and a FIP of 6.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.27 and he has gone up against 207 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Priester (3-2 career mark) has a 7.86 earned run average and has given up 9.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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