Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-135) Pittsburgh (+114)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) will compete against the Miami Marlins (83-76) at PNC Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at -135 and the Pirates are priced at +114. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Bryan Hoeing and Osvaldo Bido.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs/g, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have accounted for 661 runs scored while having a team OBP of .317. The Marlins have hit 256 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 165 balls out of the park. They have tallied 628 runs batted in and 1,409 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is .259. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .406 and have been called out on strikes 1,272 times, while taking a walk on 427 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Marlins pitchers have conceded 191 home runs and 717 runs in total (18th in the league). Miami has conceded 1,323 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 668 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.24 over the course of the season (16th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,467 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 508 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a team so far this year.

The Marlins have dispatched 535 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 229 runners on the year and 29.3% of those runners crossed home plate. They have accumulated 42 saves over the course of the season and have blown 29 out of their 71 save chances. The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 59.2% and has entered the game in 161 save situations. The relievers have earned 89 holds so far this season (10th in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 158 times as well as having 206 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have turned 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,765 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 4,255 putouts this season, in addition to 1,395 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which has them sitting 24th in MLB, and have accumulated 144 double plays.

Hoeing has pitched in 82 innings and has tallied 58 K's during his MLB career. Hoeing (3-3 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.76 while he has gone up against 357 batters in the majors. His ERA is 6.23 (57 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.397. He has allowed 87 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) with 28 free passes.

Pittsburgh has tallied 159 long balls on the campaign to go along with 659 runs batted in. They have recorded 280 two-baggers, while taking a walk 550 times as well as racking up 686 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a batting average of .239 for the year. The Pirates have a team SLG% of .392 and they average 4.29 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have been rung up on 1,441 occasions (10th in baseball) and have a total of 1,277 hits.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have yielded 783 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.61 (724 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 178 homers and they relinquish 4.99 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.385 with a FIP of 4.41 as a staff on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,347 strikeouts vs 593 free passes). They rank 21st in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,363.

Pittsburgh has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 67 save opportunities and they have converted 46 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 68.7%, and they have dispatched 522 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.2% out of their 229 inherited base runners. Sitting with 159 save situations, the Pirates have tallied 88 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

In 12,708 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (18th in the majors). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 132 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Pirates have racked up 1,383 assists, 90 errors and have 4,236 putouts during this campaign.

In his career, Bido has conceded 52 hits while totaling 44 K's in 46 innings pitched. Bido (2-5 mark in his career) holds a 6.36 earned run average and has conceded 10.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 33 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.543 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and he has gone up against 221 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+114) and under 8.5 runs

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