Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+154) Philadelphia (-185)

Citizens Bank Park is where the Philadelphia Phillies (77-62) will take on the Miami Marlins (72-68) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Marlins at +154 and the Phillies open at -185. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Johnny Cueto and Aaron Nola.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 26th in MLB. They have accounted for 576 runs while holding a team OBP of .315. The Marlins have earned 224 doubles as a team and have knocked 142 baseballs out of the park. They have 547 RBI's as well as 1,235 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .259. Miami has a slugging % of .404 and have been called out on strikes 1,096 times, while being walked on 359 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.95 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 165 long balls and 620 total runs (15th in MLB). Miami has relinquished 1,147 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 575 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.16 so far this season (15th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,296 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 439 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a team so far this year.

The Marlins relievers have earned a save percentage of 56.5% and has come into the game in 143 save situations. The relievers have inherited 193 runners for the season with 30.6% of those players earned a run for their team. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 137 times in addition to having 175 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 463 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have notched 80 holds this year (9th in MLB). They have earned 35 saves for the season and have blown 27 out of their 62 chances to save the game.

The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 3,733 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,233 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 25th in baseball, and they have turned 128 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 68.6% of balls in play into outs in their 11,199 innings, ranking them 20th in MLB.

Cueto has taken the mound for 2,230 frames and is sitting with 1,842 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.48 (862 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.207. He has surrendered 2,061 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 630 free passes. Cueto (144-110 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.89 while he has gone up against 9,255 batters in the major leagues.

Philadelphia has knocked in 184 home runs so far this season as well as 656 runs batted in. They have 261 doubles, while walking 456 times as well as scoring 678 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team OBP of .329 in addition to a batting average of .260 so far this season. The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .441 and they score 4.88 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,250 instances (9th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,241 hits.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.248 in addition to having a FIP of 3.98 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,240 strikeouts vs 404 walks). They come in at 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,136. They have surrendered 156 home runs and they concede 4.44 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 609 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.00 (548 earned runs allowed).

With 126 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 67 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 59 save chances and they have walked away with 38 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 148 times in high leverage situations and on 111 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.6% out of 163 inherited base runners. They sit at 12th in the league with a save percentage of 64.4%, and they have dispatched 443 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 103 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 1,185 assists, 77 errors and have accumulated 3,703 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,109 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (15th in baseball).

Nola (90-71 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.72 earned run average and has conceded 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.21 and he has gone up against 5,725 hitters during his career. He has conceded a total of 579 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.128 and a FIP of 3.4. So far in his career, Nola has allowed 1,210 base knocks while he has tallied 1,559 K's in 1,400 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-185)

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