Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (77-63) will go up against the Miami Marlins (73-68) on Sunday. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jesus Luzardo and Ranger Suarez.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have 579 runs while holding a team OBP of .314. The Marlins have accounted for 225 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 144 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 550 RBI's as well as 1,242 hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .259. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .404 and have struck out 1,104 times, while drawing a walk on 361 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have conceded 166 home runs and 622 total runs (16th in the league). Miami has yielded 1,152 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 577 earned runs. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.14 for the year (15th in the league), and they have struck out 1,304 hitters. They have walked 444 hitters and their FIP is 4.10 as a unit so far this season.

Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 138 times in addition to having 178 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 82 holds over the course of the season (9th in the league). The Marlins bullpen have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 146 save situations. They have earned 36 saves on the campaign and have blown 27 of 63 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 195 base runners on the season and 30.3% of those runners ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 467 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Marlins have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,280 innings, which ranks them 20th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 3,760 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,239 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which has them sitting 25th in MLB, and have earned 129 double plays.

Luzardo has taken the hill for 422 innings and is sitting with 474 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 4.22 (198 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.251. He has conceded 380 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 148 free passes. Luzardo (22-26 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.98 and he has faced 1,773 opposing hitters in the majors.

Philadelphia has recorded 185 home runs over the course of the season and 658 runs batted in. They have recorded 261 two-baggers, while walking 461 times and putting up 680 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .329 as well as a batting average of .259 on the season. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .440 and they average 4.86 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,258 occasions (9th in the league) and have tallied 1,246 base knocks.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.246 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,248 strikeouts vs 406 free passes). They rank 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,143. They have yielded 158 long balls and they allow 4.43 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 612 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.99 (551 earned runs yielded).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.4% out of their 164 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 148 times in high leverage situations and also on 112 occasions with base runners. With 127 save situations, the Phillies have earned 67 holds and also 22 blown saves. They sit at 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.3%, and they have dispatched 447 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 60 save opportunities and they have earned 38 saves.

Out of their 11,190 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (15th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 103 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,199 assists, 77 errors and are sitting with 3,730 putouts on the campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Suarez has allowed 414 base hits while earning 384 strikeouts in 430 frames. Suarez (27-21 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.30 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 158 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.311 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and he has gone up against 1,817 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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