Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+145) Philadelphia (-170)

The Miami Marlins (4-6) are hitting the road to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (3-6). The odds on this game have the Marlins at +145 while the Phillies open at -170. The betting total comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Aaron Nola.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are recording 2.7 runs per outing, which ranks them 30th in baseball. They have 27 runs scored while having a team OBP of .292. The Marlins have tallied 10 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 11 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 27 RBI's as well as 73 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is at .230. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .372 and have been called out on strikes 95 times, while taking a walk on 28 occasions.

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Marlins pitchers have given up 12 home runs and 46 total runs (19th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 43 players from the other team and their FIP is 5.12 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.77 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.60 on the season (17th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 76 batters.

Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 8 times and also have had 6 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 2 holds on the season (27th in the league). The Marlins relievers have recorded a save rate of 100.0% and stepped onto the hill in 3 save situations. They have tallied 1 save on the year and have blown 0 of 1 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 15 base runners this season with 6.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 32 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Marlins have transformed 73.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 792 innings, which has them ranked 4th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 264 putouts on the campaign, as well as 88 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .978 which has them ranked 28th in MLB, and they have turned 7 double plays.

Luzardo has pitched in 279 innings and is sitting with 308 strikeouts so far in his career. Luzardo (14-18 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.09 while he has faced 1,179 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.41 (137 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.264. He has surrendered 245 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 108 free passes.

Philadelphia has knocked in 7 home runs this season to go along with 28 RBIs. They have tallied 19 two-baggers, while getting a free base 22 times as well as recording 30 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an OBP of .311 and a team batting average of .261 over the course of the season. The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .426 and they are scoring 3.33 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have been rung up on 92 occasions (4th in baseball) and have earned a total of 79 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 52 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 5.68 (48 earned runs conceded). They have given up 11 home runs and they relinquish 6.16 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.566 in addition to having a FIP of 4.95 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 1.83 (77 strikeouts vs 42 free passes). They are currently ranked 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 77.

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 2 save opportunities and they have walked away with 1 save. They rank 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 36 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their relievers have come in 6 times in high leverage situations and also on 11 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 60.0% out of their 20 inherited base runners. Sitting with 6 save situations, the Phillies have 4 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

Out of their 684 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (19th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 6 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .993 (4th in baseball). The Phillies have racked up 72 assists, 2 errors and have a tally of 228 putouts this season.

Thus far in his career, Nola has allowed 1,067 base knocks and he has 1,389 K's in 1,238 innings pitched. He has surrendered 500 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.128 and having a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 4.22 and he has faced 5,063 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Nola (78-63 record in his career) has a 3.63 ERA and has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+145)

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