Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 10/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, October 3, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+138) Philadelphia (-164)

The Miami Marlins (84-77) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday where they will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72). The odds on this game have the Marlins at +138 while the Phillies are opening at -164. The total is 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Zack Wheeler.

Miami has a slugging % of .405 and have struck out 1,288 times, while drawing a walk on 430 occasions. They have amassed 635 runs batted in in addition to 1,427 hits for the year, and their team batting average is at .259. The Marlins have recorded 259 doubles as a unit and have smacked 166 balls out of the park. They have 668 runs scored and hold an OBP of .317. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 26th in MLB.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 191 home runs and also 723 runs in total (17th in MLB). Miami has conceded 1,341 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 673 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.22 so far this year (16th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,490 hitters. They have walked 514 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.13 as a unit on the campaign.

The Marlins bullpen have earned a save percentage of 58.1% and has entered the game in 166 save situations. The relievers have inherited 232 runners so far this season with 28.9% of those players ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 160 times in addition to having 210 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 544 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The bullpen have 91 holds over the course of the season (9th in baseball). They have tallied 43 saves this year and have blown 31 out of their 74 save opportunities.

The Miami Marlins have earned 4,306 putouts this season, in addition to 1,412 assists and 97 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which has them ranked 24th in professional baseball, and have a total of 144 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,918 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in the majors.

Luzardo (23-27 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.93 and he has gone up against 1,872 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 401 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 158 free passes. His earned run average is 4.20 (208 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.255. Luzardo has pitched in 445 frames and has earned 501 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an OBP of .327 as well as a batting average of .256 so far this season. They have been rung up on 1,481 instances (8th in baseball) and have totaled 1,417 hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 220 home runs for the year to go along with 771 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .438 and they are recording 4.91 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have tallied 291 doubles, while taking a walk 539 times and earning 796 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.239 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a pitching staff on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (1,454 strikeouts against 470 free passes). They sit at 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,317. They have yielded 185 homers and they yield 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 715 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.03 (645 earned runs allowed).

With 158 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 87 holds and also 26 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the game in 71 save opportunities and they have walked away with 45 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 181 times in high leverage situations and also on 131 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of their 182 inherited base runners. They rank 14th in the league with a save rate of 63.4%, and they have sent 523 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 117 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,385 assists, 92 errors and have accounted for 4,327 putouts on the season. In 12,981 innings on the diamond, the Phillies hold a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (13th in baseball).

Wheeler (87-63 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.45 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and he has faced 5,714 batters in his career. He has surrendered 528 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.3. In his pro baseball career, Wheeler has given up 1,229 base knocks while earning 1,401 strikeouts in 1,378 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-164) and under 7.5 runs

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