Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

The Miami Marlins (81-75) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Thursday where they will take on the New York Mets (71-85). The starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and David Peterson.

The Marlins have accumulated 250 doubles as a team and have knocked 163 balls out of the park. Miami is slugging .407 and have been called out on strikes 1,237 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 26th in baseball. They have 617 RBI's in addition to 1,375 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is .259. They have notched a total of 649 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.88 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Marlins pitchers have given up 186 home runs and also 700 runs (15th in baseball). Miami has allowed 1,291 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 652 earned runs. The Marlins have an ERA of 4.24 this year (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,427 batters. They have walked 496 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a team for the year.

The Marlins relievers have earned a save rate of 58.0% and has come into the game in 158 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 224 base runners so far this year with 29.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 155 times in addition to having 198 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 522 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have a total of 88 holds for the season (10th in MLB). They have earned 40 saves for the season and have not converted 29 of 69 save opportunities.

The Marlins have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 12,459 innings, which ranks them 21st in the majors. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 4,153 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,365 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them ranked 24th in the majors, and have accumulated 141 double plays.

Luzardo has taken the hill for 438 innings and has totaled 491 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.25 (207 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.265. He has given up 397 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 157 walks. Luzardo (23-27 career record) has a FIP of 3.98 and he has faced 1,845 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .407 and they score 4.40 runs per contest (19th in MLB). They have notched 214 doubles, while getting a free base 510 times as well as putting up 687 runs. New York has accumulated 205 home runs so far this year to go along with 664 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,274 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,236 base knocks. The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .239 on the year.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.363 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.49 as a pitching staff so far this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,341 strikeouts vs 574 bases on balls). They are sitting at 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,284. They have relinquished 185 home runs and they concede 4.67 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The New York pitching staff have conceded 707 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.33 (656 earned runs relinquished).

New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 51 save chances and they have tallied 33 saves. They sit at 11th in MLB with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 509 relievers to the mound for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 149 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of 228 inherited base runners. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Mets have recorded 81 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 138 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,346 assists, 84 errors and have earned 4,090 putouts for the year. Out of their 12,270 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (17th in MLB).

Peterson (18-21 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.61 ERA and has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.41 and he has gone up against 1,411 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 167 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.411 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. During his pro baseball career, Peterson has surrendered 313 base knocks while he has accumulated 355 strikeouts in 326 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York

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