Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

The Miami Marlins (81-75) are traveling to Citi Field on Wednesday where they will take on the New York Mets (71-85). The pitchers taking the mound are Johnny Cueto and Kodai Senga.

The Marlins have earned 250 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 163 balls out of the park. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .407 and have struck out 1,237 times, while taking a walk on 410 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 26th in the league. They have 617 RBI's as well as 1,375 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .259. They have racked up 649 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Marlins pitchers have allowed 186 long balls and 700 runs (17th in baseball). Miami has allowed 1,291 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 652 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.24 this season (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,427 batters. They have walked 496 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a team this year.

The Marlins relievers have recorded a save rate of 58.0% and has entered the game in 158 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 224 runners on the campaign with 29.0% of those players crossed the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 155 times as well as having 198 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 522 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have 88 holds for the year (10th in MLB). They have compiled 40 saves so far this season and have blown 29 out of their 69 save opportunities.

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 4,153 putouts for the season, as well as 1,365 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and have accumulated 141 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,459 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in the majors.

Cueto (144-111 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.91 while he has gone up against 9,305 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 2,076 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 633 walks. His earned run average is 3.50 (872 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.209. Cueto has taken the mound for 2,240 innings and has earned 1,847 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The New York Mets are sitting with an on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .239 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,274 instances (22nd in the league) and have a total of 1,236 hits. New York has 205 long balls over the course of the season as well as 664 runs batted in. The Mets have a team slugging % of .407 and they tally 4.40 runs per outing (20th in baseball). They have 214 doubles, while taking a walk 510 times and putting up 687 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.363 with a FIP of 4.49 as a team for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,341 strikeouts vs 574 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,284. They have allowed 185 home runs and they surrender 4.67 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The New York pitching staff have yielded 707 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.33 (656 earned runs conceded).

With 137 save situations, the Mets have 81 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 51 save opportunities and they have come away with 33 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 149 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.6% of 228 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 12th in the league with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 509 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

The New York Mets have turned 138 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Mets have 1,346 assists, 84 errors and have accumulated 4,090 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,270 innings played, the Mets hold a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (17th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Senga has allowed 123 hits while he has earned 194 punch outs in 161 frames. Senga (12-7 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 2.96 earned run average while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 53 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.221 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and he has gone up against 673 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York

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