Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-135) New York (+114)

The Miami Marlins (81-75) are headed to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the New York Mets (71-85). The moneyline on this contest has Miami at -135 and New York is sitting at +114. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Braxton Garrett and Joey Lucchesi.

Miami has a slugging percentage of .407 and have struck out 1,237 times, while taking a walk on 410 occasions. They have compiled 617 runs batted in in addition to 1,375 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is .259. The Marlins have accumulated 250 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 163 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 649 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .316. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 26th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. Marlins pitchers have allowed 186 home runs and also 700 runs (17th in baseball). Miami has conceded 1,291 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 652 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.24 for the season (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,427 hitters. They have walked 496 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a squad this year.

The Marlins have dispatched 522 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 224 base runners on the campaign and 29.0% of those players ended up scoring. They have accumulated 40 saves this season and have blown 29 of 69 chances to save the game. The Marlins relievers have earned a save percentage of 58.0% and has come into the game in 158 save situations. The relievers have a total of 88 holds this season (10th in MLB). Marlins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 155 times as well as having 198 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,459 innings, ranking them 20th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 4,153 putouts for the season, as well as 1,365 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 24th in baseball, and they have turned 141 double plays.

Garrett has taken the hill for 285 innings and is sitting with 284 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.79 (120 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.272. He has surrendered 287 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 76 free passes. Garrett (14-16 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.75 and he has gone up against 1,208 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

New York has tallied 205 HRs for the season as well as 664 runs batted in. They have hit 214 doubles, while taking a walk 510 times as well as notching 687 runs. The New York Mets hold an on-base percentage of .317 as well as a batting average of .239 so far this year. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .407 and they have an average of 4.40 runs per game (20th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,274 instances (22nd in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,236 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.363 and have a FIP of 4.49 as a staff on the campaign. They come in at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,284. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 707 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.33 (656 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,341 strikeouts vs 574 bases on balls). They have surrendered 185 home runs and they concede 4.67 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.6% out of 228 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 149 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with runners on base. With 137 save situations, the Mets have 81 holds and also 18 blown saves. They rank 12th in the league with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have sent 509 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. New York has had relievers step onto the mound in 51 save chances and they have walked away with 33 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 138 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,346 assists, 84 errors and have amassed 4,090 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,270 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (17th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Lucchesi has conceded 353 base hits while accumulating 378 strikeouts in 378 frames. Lucchesi (22-24 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.09 earned run average while allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 172 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.269 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and he has faced 1,592 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+114)

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