Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, September 11, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+130) Milwaukee (-155)

The Milwaukee Brewers (79-62) will go up against the Miami Marlins (73-69) at American Family Field on Monday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +130 and the Brewers are at -155. The total is 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Edward Cabrera and Brandon Woodruff.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 25th in baseball. They are sitting with 583 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .314. The Marlins have earned 229 doubles as a team and have smacked 145 baseballs out of the park. They have 554 RBI's and 1,252 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .259. Miami has a slugging percentage of .405 and have been called out on strikes 1,116 times, while drawing a walk on 361 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers have allowed 167 home runs and also 630 total runs (16th in the league). Miami has allowed 1,159 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 585 earned runs. The Marlins have an ERA of 4.17 on the season (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,310 hitters. They have walked 449 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.11 as a team on the year.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 139 times and also have had 178 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 82 holds this year (9th in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save rate of 57.1% and has entered the game in 146 save situations. They have accumulated 36 saves for the year and have blown 27 of their 63 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 196 runners so far this year and 30.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The Marlins have sent 468 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 3,784 putouts this year, in addition to 1,246 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which is 25th in pro baseball, and have earned 130 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,352 innings, which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball.

Cabrera has taken the hill for 2,698 innings and has 2,930 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Cabrera (209-91 record in his career) has a FIP of 2.81 and he has faced 10,627 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.48 (745 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.004. He has conceded 2,046 base knocks (6.8 hits per nine innings) and has 663 free passes.

Milwaukee is sitting with 145 HRs for the season as well as 598 RBIs. They have hit 206 two-baggers, while walking 508 times as well as recording 628 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .237 on the campaign. The Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .380 and they average 4.45 runs per outing (18th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,243 occasions (14th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,111 hits.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.203 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (1,237 strikeouts vs 428 walks). They rank 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,076. They have conceded 180 dingers and they allow 4.25 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 591 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.92 (545 earned runs given up).

With 149 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 86 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 62 save opportunities and they have come away with 41 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 150 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.6% out of their 149 inherited runners. They are ranked 11th in the league with a save percentage of 66.1%, and they have sent 450 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

In their 11,256 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (1st in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 99 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (14th in baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,208 assists, 71 errors and are sitting with 3,752 putouts during this campaign.

Woodruff (22-26 record in his career) has earned a 4.22 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.20 and he has gone up against 1,773 hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 198 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.251 and having a FIP of 4.0. In his pro baseball career, Woodruff has surrendered 380 base hits while totaling 474 strikeouts in 422 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+130)

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