Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 4/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Friday, April 21, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+135) Cleveland (-155)

The Miami Marlins (10-9) are en route to Progressive Field on Friday where they will go up against the Cleveland Guardians (10-9). The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at +135 and the Guardians are at -155. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Braxton Garrett and Zach Plesac.

Miami is slugging .383 and have struck out 169 times, while drawing a walk on 46 occasions. They have accrued 58 RBI's in addition to 156 hits this season, while their batting average is sitting at .249. The Marlins have accumulated 24 doubles as a unit and have hit 18 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 59 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .305. As a team, the Miami Marlins are compiling 3.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 30th in MLB.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.21 on the season (17th in baseball), and they have struck out 162 hitters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 20 home runs and 85 total runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 62 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.23 as a unit for the year. Miami has allowed 151 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 80 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 100.0% and has come into the game in 11 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 26 base runners this season and 15.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 16 times in addition to having 17 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 60 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relievers have notched 7 holds on the season (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 4 saves on the year and have blown 0 of their 4 save opportunities.

The Marlins have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,539 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 513 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 174 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in baseball, and they have turned 13 double plays.

Garrett has taken the ball for 143 innings and has accounted for 143 K's so far in his MLB career. Garrett (5-10 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.95 and he has gone up against 626 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.03 (64 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.441. He has allowed 155 base hits (9.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 51 walks.

The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .347 and they are recording 4.21 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have hit 37 doubles, while walking 82 times and scoring 80 runs. Cleveland has 10 HRs on the season and 71 runs batted in. They have struck out on 143 instances (26th in baseball) and have accounted for 150 hits. The Cleveland Guardians hold an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .231 over the course of the season.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.236 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a staff this year. They come in at 22nd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 165. The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 83 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (75 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.60 (147 strikeouts against 49 bases on balls). They have allowed 18 homers and they relinquish 4.32 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball).

With 22 save situations, the Guardians have 10 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 12 save chances and they have converted 8 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.4% out of 17 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 64 relievers onto the diamond for the year.

In 1,560 innings on the diamond, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 13 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in the majors). The Guardians have accrued 178 assists, 9 errors and have accounted for 520 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Plesac has allowed 432 hits while tallying 353 K's in 458 frames. Plesac (26-26 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.12 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 210 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.204 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has faced 1,907 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+135)

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