Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, August 9, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-118) Cincinnati (-102)

The Cincinnati Reds (60-55) will play the Miami Marlins (58-56) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Marlins at -118 while the Reds are priced at -102. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Johnny Cueto and Graham Ashcraft.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 27th in the league. They have racked up 462 runs while having a team OBP of .319. The Marlins have tallied 183 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 105 baseballs out of the park. They have 441 RBI's as well as 1,020 hits this year, and their average at the plate is at .263. Miami is slugging .399 and have struck out 909 times, while drawing a walk on 301 occasions.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.18 so far this year (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,081 hitters. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 131 home runs in addition to 502 runs in total (15th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 353 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a team on the season. Miami has conceded 936 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and 470 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Marlins bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 55.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 122 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 167 runners for the season with 31.1% of them ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 117 times in addition to having 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 386 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have a total of 69 holds this year (7th in the league). They have recorded 29 saves so far this season and have not converted 23 of their 52 save opportunities.

The Marlins have transformed 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,102 innings, ranking them 26th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned 3,034 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,001 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 25th in pro baseball, and have 104 double plays.

Cueto has taken the mound for 2,214 innings and has earned 1,830 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.46 (852 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.205. He has conceded 2,044 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 625 walks. Cueto (143-110 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.86 while he has faced 9,190 batters in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has accumulated 135 long balls this season as well as 537 RBIs. They have hit 198 two-baggers, while taking a walk 397 times as well as putting up 558 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .328 in addition to a batting average of .250 so far this season. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .417 and they are recording 4.85 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,054 occasions (5th in MLB) and are sitting with 975 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 584 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.85 (551 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 160 home runs and they give up 5.14 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.434 and have a FIP of 4.84 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (969 strikeouts vs 431 bases on balls). They rank 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,036.

Cincinnati has called on relievers to take the mound in 58 save opportunities and they have tallied 42 saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 72.4%, and they have sent 424 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 174 times in high leverage situations and on 158 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.4% out of their 225 inherited base runners. Sitting with 129 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 69 holds and also 16 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 92 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 931 assists, 59 errors and have amassed 3,070 putouts this season. Out of their 9,210 innings played, the Reds have a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (25th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Ashcraft has conceded 239 hits while he has earned 152 K's in 218 frames. Ashcraft (11-13 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 5.04 earned run average while conceding 9.9 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 122 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.440 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.03 and he has faced 959 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (-118)

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