Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-120) Chicago (+100)

The Miami Marlins (16-17) are headed to Wrigley Field on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Chicago Cubs (16-16). The line on this contest has Miami at -120 while Chicago is priced at +100. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and Hayden Wesneski.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are earning 3.3 runs per game, which has them at 30th in the league. They have earned 109 runs while holding a team OBP of .308. The Marlins have compiled 47 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 28 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 104 RBI's and 272 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is .250. Miami has a slugging % of .376 and have struck out 286 times, while drawing a walk on 82 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.37. Marlins pitchers have conceded 46 home runs and 164 total runs (24th in the league). Miami has conceded 285 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 155 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.78 for the year (23rd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 290 hitters. They have walked 116 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.79 as a team over the course of the season.

The Marlins bullpen have compiled a save rate of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 24 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 55 runners for the season with 20.0% of those players ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 30 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 108 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen have 14 holds for the year (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 8 saves on the year and have missed out on 2 of 10 save opportunities.

The Marlins have turned 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,628 innings, which has them ranked 19th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 876 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 283 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and have accumulated 31 double plays.

Alcantara has pitched in 751 innings and is sitting with 669 K's in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (35-46 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.73 and he has gone up against 3,068 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.20 (267 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.147. He has given up 625 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 237 free passes.

The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .435 and they earn 5.00 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have 49 doubles, while taking a walk 110 times and notching 160 runs. Chicago has accumulated 41 long balls for the year and 154 RBIs. They have been rung up on 272 occasions (19th in the league) and have 296 base hits. The Chicago Cubs have tallied a team on-base percentage of .340 and a batting average of .269 on the campaign.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 115 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.49 (109 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 26 dingers and they concede 3.68 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.166 and have a FIP of 3.75 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (274 strikeouts against 94 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 234.

Chicago has had relievers enter the contest in 8 save chances and they have come away with 4 saves. They rank 26th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 100 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 26 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers have an inherited score rate of 22.2% of 27 inherited runners. With 27 save situations, the Cubs have 19 holds and 4 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 30 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (16th in the majors). The Cubs have racked up 303 assists, 15 errors and have amassed 845 putouts for the year. Out of their 2,535 innings on the field, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (6th in MLB).

During his career, Wesneski has allowed 55 base knocks while he has accumulated 50 K's in 61 innings pitched. He has surrendered 22 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.141 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 and he has gone up against 255 batters during his pro baseball career. Wesneski (5-3 mark in his career) has a 3.23 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-120)

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