Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+130) Chicago (-150)

Wrigley Field is the location where the Chicago Cubs (15-16) will take on the Miami Marlins (16-16) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +130 while the Cubs are coming in at -150. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Bryan Hoeing and Drew Smyly.

The Marlins have accumulated 46 doubles as a unit and have hit 27 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .379 and have been called out on strikes 278 times, while taking a walk on 79 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 3.4 runs/g, which is 30th in the league. They have amassed 100 RBI's and 254 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .249. They have racked up 105 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .308.

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The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.78 this season (22nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 264 hitters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 43 long balls in addition to 154 runs in total (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 110 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.86 as a squad this season. Miami has allowed 265 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 146 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.40 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.36.

The Marlins relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 80.0% and stepped onto the hill in 24 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 52 base runners on the campaign and 21.2% of those players earned a run for their team. Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 28 times and also have had 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 101 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers are sitting with 14 holds for the year (22nd in the league). They have earned 8 saves this season and have blown 2 of their 10 save chances.

The Marlins have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs in their 2,475 innings, which has them ranked 16th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a total of 825 putouts this year, as well as 277 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and have 29 double plays.

Hoeing (1-2 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 6.40 while going up against 102 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 30 hits (12.7 hits per 9 innings) with 8 walks. His earned run average is 9.70 (23 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.781. Hoeing has taken the ball for 21 innings and has accounted for 12 K's during his career.

Chicago has accounted for 40 home runs for the season as well as 147 RBIs. They have hit 45 doubles, while taking a walk 107 times and putting up 153 runs. The Chicago Cubs have a team OBP of .345 in addition to a team batting average of .272 this season. The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .442 and they average 5.10 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 248 occasions (22nd in the league) and have recorded 282 base knocks.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 110 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.54 (104 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 24 long balls and they yield 3.75 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.188 in addition to having a FIP of 3.74 as a squad on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (264 strikeouts against 94 free passes). They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 220.

Chicago bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.2% out of 27 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 25 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 25 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 18 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 27th in the league with a save rate of 42.9%, and they have dispatched 96 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Chicago has called on relievers to enter the contest in 7 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 26 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (17th in baseball). The Cubs have racked up 279 assists, 15 errors and have earned a total of 794 putouts for the year. In 2,382 innings on the field, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (7th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Smyly has surrendered 929 hits while he has tallied 951 strikeouts in 978 innings pitched. He has allowed 441 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.19 and he has faced 4,104 batters thus far in his career. Smyly (56-48 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.06 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-150)

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