Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, June 29, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Boston Red Sox (40-40) will take on the Miami Marlins (46-34) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Brayan Bello.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.1 runs per outing, which is 24th in baseball. They have earned a total of 326 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .323. The Marlins have tallied 123 doubles as a unit and have hit 74 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 309 RBI's in addition to 713 base knocks this year, while their batting average is sitting at .263. Miami is slugging .399 and have been called out on strikes 647 times, while drawing a walk on 221 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Marlins pitchers have given up 79 home runs and also 332 total runs (11th in the league). Miami has surrendered 645 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 311 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.92 on the season (11th in the league), and they have rung up 756 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 251 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.75 as a team on the campaign.

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 83 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 54 holds so far this season (4th in MLB). The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.9% and has entered the game in 91 save situations. They have earned 24 saves for the year and have blown 13 of 37 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 base runners for the year and 30.3% of them crossed the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 273 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Miami Marlins have accounted for 2,141 putouts so far this season, in addition to 712 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which ranks 24th in MLB, and they have turned 72 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.3% of balls in play into outs out of 6,423 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball.

Luzardo (19-23 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.99 and he has faced 1,503 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 323 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 126 walks. His ERA is 4.38 (174 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.257. Luzardo has pitched in 357 frames and has earned 396 strikeouts so far in his career.

Boston is sitting with 83 HRs on the season to go along with 378 runs batted in. They have tallied 180 two-baggers, while walking 264 times as well as notching 395 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .260 over the course of the season. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .424 and they are scoring 4.94 runs per contest (7th in baseball). They have struck out on 644 occasions (23rd in the league) and have 712 base knocks.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 383 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.46 (350 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 102 homers and they relinquish 4.88 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.302 in addition to having a FIP of 4.33 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (677 strikeouts against 225 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 25th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 694.

Sitting with 65 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 37 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 28 save chances and they have walked away with 21 saves. Their relievers have come in 65 times in high leverage situations in addition to 47 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.4% out of 71 inherited runners. They sit at 3rd in the league holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 239 relievers to the hill on the season.

Out of their 6,354 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.3% (20th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 63 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have racked up 706 assists, 53 errors and have earned 2,118 putouts for the season.

So far in his career, Bello has conceded 138 base knocks while he has totaled 117 K's in 123 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 54 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.508 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.44 and he has gone up against 552 hitters in his pro baseball career. Bello (7-12 career record) has a 3.94 earned run average and has given up 10.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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