Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

The Boston Red Sox (40-39) are welcoming the Miami Marlins (45-34) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The pitchers taking the mound are Braxton Garrett and Chris Murphy.

Miami has a slugging rate of .395 and have been called out on strikes 637 times, while taking a walk on 220 occasions. They have accumulated 299 RBI's as well as 694 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is .261. The Marlins have accrued 119 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 72 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 316 runs while holding a team OBP of .321. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 26th in MLB.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.96 on the season (12th in the league), and they have struck out 749 batters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 79 home runs and 331 total runs (11th in MLB). They have walked 249 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.78 as a team so far this year. Miami has conceded 636 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 310 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Marlins have sent 272 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 122 base runners this year and 30.3% of them crossed home plate. They have 24 saves for the season and have blown 13 out of their 37 save opportunities. The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 64.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 91 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 54 holds so far this season (4th in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 83 times as well as having 107 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have turned 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,342 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 2,114 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 703 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them sitting 26th in the majors, and they have twisted 71 double plays.

Garrett has taken the mound for 206 innings and has tallied 220 K's in his career. Garrett (8-12 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.69 and he has faced 880 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.93 (90 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.323. He has allowed 210 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) with 63 walks.

Boston has accumulated 83 home runs on the season to go along with 377 RBIs. They have 177 two-baggers, while walking 262 times as well as putting up 394 runs. The Boston Red Sox have earned a team OBP of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .260 for the year. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .425 and they are scoring 4.99 runs per outing (6th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 637 instances (22nd in the league) and have totaled 703 hits.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 373 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.39 (340 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 100 home runs and they concede 4.82 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.290 in addition to having a FIP of 4.34 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (667 strikeouts vs 224 bases on balls). They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 675.

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.4% of 69 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 65 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 65 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 37 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 237 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 28 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 63 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 696 assists, 53 errors and have a tally of 2,091 putouts this year. In their 6,273 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (19th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Murphy has conceded 4 base knocks and he has 11 strikeouts in 8 frames. Murphy (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) has a 0.00 ERA and has conceded 4.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 0 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.625 and a FIP of 0.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 11.00 and he has faced 30 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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