Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Tuesday, June 27, 2023
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
TV: NESN
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-105) Boston (-115)
The Boston Red Sox (40-39) will compete against the Miami Marlins (45-34) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Marlins at -105 while the Red Sox are priced at -115. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sandy Alcantara and Garrett Whitlock.
The Marlins have recorded 119 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 72 baseballs out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging rate of .395 and have been called out on strikes 637 times, while drawing a walk on 220 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have 299 RBI's in addition to 694 hits on the season, and their batting average is at .261. They have earned 316 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321.
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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.01 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Marlins pitchers have conceded 79 long balls and 331 runs (11th in MLB). Miami has surrendered 636 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 310 earned runs. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 3.96 this season (12th in the league), and the staff has struck out 749 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 249 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.78 as a team on the year.
The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 64.9% and stepped onto the hill in 91 save situations. The relievers have inherited 122 base runners over the course of the season and 30.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 83 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 272 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have notched 54 holds on the campaign (4th in baseball). They have accumulated 24 saves this season and have blown 13 of 37 chances to get a save.
The Marlins have transformed 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,342 innings on the field, which has them ranked 20th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned 2,114 putouts so far this season, as well as 703 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which is 26th in professional baseball, and have earned 71 double plays.
Alcantara (36-49 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.71 while going up against 3,320 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 684 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 254 free passes. His ERA is 3.34 (301 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.156. Alcantara has thrown 811 innings and is sitting with 716 strikeouts during his MLB career.
Boston has accounted for 83 home runs for the season as well as 377 runs batted in. They have put up 177 doubles, while taking a walk 262 times as well as recording 394 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .332 as well as a batting average of .260 for the season. The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .425 and they score 4.99 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have struck out on 637 occasions (21st in MLB) and have a total of 703 base hits.
The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.290 in addition to having a FIP of 4.34 as a team so far this year. They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 675. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 373 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.39 (340 earned runs given up). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (667 strikeouts against 224 bases on balls). They have given up 100 dingers and they surrender 4.82 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).
Sitting with 65 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 37 holds and 7 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 28 save chances and they have earned 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 65 times in high leverage situations and also on 46 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.4% out of their 69 inherited runners. They rank 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 237 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year.
In 6,273 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (19th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 696 assists, 53 errors and have earned 2,091 putouts so far this season.
In his pro baseball career, Whitlock has given up 178 base hits and he has 202 K's in 197 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 69 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.098 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.18 and he has faced 795 hitters so far in his career. Whitlock (16-8 career mark) is the owner of a 3.14 earned run average while surrendering 8.1 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-115) and under 9 runs
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Additional Resources:
Boston Red Sox - Twitter
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