Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/15/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, July 15, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-105) Baltimore (-115)

The Miami Marlins (53-39) are on their way to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday where they will meet the Baltimore Orioles (54-35). The line on this matchup has Miami at -105 while Baltimore is at -115. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Braxton Garrett and Kyle Gibson.

The Marlins have compiled 146 two-baggers as a team and have hit 87 baseballs out of the park. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .403 and have been called out on strikes 739 times, while taking a walk on 254 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 23rd in baseball. They have 366 RBI's in addition to 828 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is sitting at .265. They have earned a total of 386 runs while having a team OBP of .324.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Marlins pitchers have given up 99 home runs and also 391 total runs (13th in baseball). Miami has surrendered 753 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 370 earned runs. The Marlins have an ERA of 4.07 this year (14th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 868 hitters. They have walked 277 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.88 as a team for the season.

The Marlins relief pitchers have a save rate of 65.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 108 save situations. The relievers have inherited 134 runners on the campaign with 29.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 93 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 316 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have a total of 65 holds on the campaign (3rd in MLB). They have compiled 28 saves for the year and have missed out on 15 of their 43 chances to get a save.

The Marlins have turned 68.2% of balls in play into outs in their 7,368 innings on the field, which has them sitting 24th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 2,456 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 822 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 21st in the majors, and have earned 82 double plays.

Garrett has thrown 222 innings and is sitting with 231 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Garrett (10-12 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.79 and he has gone up against 944 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.93 (97 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.306. He has allowed 226 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 64 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a team batting average of .254 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 739 occasions (21st in the league) and have recorded 765 base hits. Baltimore has knocked in 107 HRs for the year as well as 429 runs batted in. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .423 and they earn 4.97 runs per game (6th in MLB). They have put up 162 two-baggers, while getting a free base 299 times as well as putting up 442 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 394 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.14 (368 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 107 home runs and they relinquish 4.44 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.301 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.20 (821 strikeouts vs 272 bases on balls). They are sitting at 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 768.

Baltimore has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 45 save opportunities and they have tallied 27 saves. They rank 20th in baseball holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 310 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations and on 114 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.5% out of their 169 inherited base runners. Sitting with 116 save situations, the Orioles have 69 holds and also 18 blown saves.

In 7,194 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (21st in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 80 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB). The Orioles have racked up 751 assists, 36 errors and have 2,398 putouts during this campaign.

In his career, Gibson has surrendered 1,657 base hits while tallying 1,291 K's in 1,613 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 811 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.380 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.26 and he has gone up against 6,929 opposing batters during his career. Gibson (98-97 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.52 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (-115) and under 8 runs

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