Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (53-27) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (48-34) on Saturday. The expected starting pitchers are Eury Perez and Charlie Morton.

The Marlins have hit 124 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 77 baseballs out of the stadium. Miami has a slugging % of .398 and have been rung up 665 times, while being walked on 229 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are earning 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 25th in the league. They have earned 316 RBI's and 727 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .262. They have tallied 334 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.07 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 80 home runs in addition to 334 runs in total (10th in the league). Miami has surrendered 657 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 313 earned runs. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 3.85 on the year (10th in the league), and their staff has struck out 776 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 253 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.73 as a team on the season.

The Marlins have sent 281 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 127 runners on the year and 29.1% of those players ended up scoring. They have recorded 26 saves this year and have missed out on 13 of 39 chances to save the game. The Marlins relievers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 96 save situations. The bullpen have 57 holds for the season (4th in MLB). Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 86 times in addition to having 110 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins have earned 2,195 putouts on the year, in addition to 725 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and have 73 double plays. The Marlins have converted 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,585 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in pro baseball.

Perez (5-1 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.04 and he has gone up against 185 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 31 base hits (5.9 hits per 9 innings) with 15 free passes. His ERA is 1.34 (7 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.979. Perez has taken the hill for 47 innings and has tallied 54 punch outs so far in his career.

Atlanta has recorded 147 home runs on the campaign to go along with 425 runs batted in. They have 138 doubles, while taking a walk 273 times as well as scoring 441 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .340 as well as a team batting average of .270 over the course of the season. The Braves have a team slugging percentage of .487 and they average 5.51 runs per outing (3rd in the league). They have been rung up on 657 instances (23rd in the league) and have notched a total of 740 base hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.272 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a staff for the year. They come in at 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 649. The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 324 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.74 (296 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.70 (765 strikeouts vs 257 bases on balls). They have allowed 87 dingers and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).

With 101 save situations, the Braves have accrued 59 holds and 14 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 41 save opportunities and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 88 times in high leverage situations and on 69 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of their 101 inherited base runners. They sit at 12th in the league holding a save rate of 65.9%, and they have sent 267 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 69 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 655 assists, 49 errors and have accumulated 2,137 putouts this season. In their 6,411 innings on the field, the Braves have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (22nd in the majors).

Morton (123-107 career mark) has a 4.02 earned run average while conceding 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and he has faced 8,064 hitters during his MLB career. He has given up 841 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 3.8. In his MLB career, Morton has given up 1,774 base hits while earning 1,797 punch outs in 1,882 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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