Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+160) Atlanta (-190)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (16-8) will go up against the Miami Marlins (12-12) on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +160 and the Braves open at -190. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Braxton Garrett and Kyle Wright.

Miami has a slugging % of .382 and have been called out on strikes 216 times, while drawing a walk on 61 occasions. They have accumulated 75 runs batted in as well as 194 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .245. The Marlins have earned 34 doubles as a team and have hit 23 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 76 runs while holding a team OBP of .302. As a team, the Miami Marlins are compiling 3.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 29th in the league.

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The Marlins hold a team ERA of 4.48 this year (21st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 199 batters. Marlins pitchers have given up 30 home runs and also 113 runs in total (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 79 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.57 as a squad over the course of the season. Miami has yielded 196 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 106 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.52 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Marlins have dispatched 75 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have inherited 34 runners over the course of the season with 14.7% of them earned a run for their team. They have recorded 5 saves over the course of the season and have blown 0 out of their 5 save opportunities. The Marlins relievers have accumulated a save rate of 100.0% and stepped onto the hill in 15 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 10 holds for the year (21st in baseball). Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 21 times and also have had 20 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 1,917 innings on the diamond, ranking them 10th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 639 putouts thus far, as well as 217 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which is 23rd in MLB, and have accumulated 18 double plays.

Garrett (6-10 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.90 and he has faced 649 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 160 base knocks (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 52 free passes. His earned run average is 3.93 (65 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.426. Garrett has taken the ball for 148 innings and has accumulated 146 strikeouts in his MLB career.

Atlanta has accounted for 38 long balls on the campaign to go along with 118 runs batted in. They have put up 44 doubles, while taking a walk 93 times as well as scoring 124 runs. The Atlanta Braves have recorded an OBP of .338 and a team batting average of .258 so far this season. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .456 and they average 5.17 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 230 occasions (3rd in the league) and have 212 hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.247 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.48 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (223 strikeouts against 76 bases on balls). They rank 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 192. They have allowed 17 long balls and they relinquish 3.60 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 86 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.35 (80 earned runs relinquished).

With 31 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 20 holds and also 5 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers take the mound in 11 save opportunities and they have tallied 6 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 26 times in high leverage situations in addition to 22 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.7% of 30 inherited base runners. They are ranked 24th in MLB holding a save rate of 54.5%, and they have sent 81 relievers to the hill for the season.

Out of their 1,935 innings on the diamond, the Braves are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (25th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 24 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in baseball). The Braves have accrued 204 assists, 16 errors and have notched a total of 645 putouts this year.

Wright (23-14 record in his career) holds a 4.23 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.24 and he has faced 1,129 opposing hitters in his career. He has given up a total of 124 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.326 and having a FIP of 4.5. In his MLB career, Wright has conceded 241 base knocks while he has accumulated 244 K's in 264 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+160)

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