Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+125) Arizona (-145)

The Miami Marlins (17-19) are on their way to Chase Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-15). The odds on this game have the Marlins at +125 while the Diamondbacks are opening at -145. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Edward Cabrera and Merrill Kelly.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.3 runs/g, which ranks them 30th in the league. They have a total of 118 runs scored while having a team OBP of .302. The Marlins have tallied 51 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 30 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 112 runs batted in in addition to 296 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is at .246. Miami has a slugging % of .371 and have struck out 312 times, while drawing a walk on 87 occasions.

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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 4.61 over the course of the season (21st in the league), and their staff has rung up 323 batters. Marlins pitchers have given up 47 home runs and 177 runs in total (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 124 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.57 as a unit for the year. Miami has allowed 319 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 165 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38.

The Marlins relievers have recorded a save percentage of 64.3% and has entered the game in 31 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 60 base runners this season and 21.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 39 times as well as having 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 122 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers are sitting with 17 holds this season (21st in MLB). They have earned 9 saves so far this season and have blown 5 of 14 save chances.

The Marlins have converted 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,898 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 25th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 966 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 315 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which is 25th in the majors, and have earned 32 double plays.

Cabrera (8-10 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.14 and he has gone up against 559 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 95 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 78 walks. His ERA is 4.02 (58 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.331. Cabrera has pitched in 130 innings and has 147 punch outs so far in his career.

Arizona has knocked in 38 home runs over the course of the season and 178 RBIs. They have recorded 72 doubles, while taking a walk 99 times and notching 185 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have an OBP of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .272 over the course of the season. The Diamondbacks have a slugging percentage of .444 and they average 5.29 runs per contest (7th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 262 occasions (29th in the league) and have earned 323 hits.

The Arizona pitching staff have yielded 172 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.81 (164 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 43 dingers and they surrender 5.04 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.365 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.61 as a unit so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (287 strikeouts against 125 bases on balls). They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 294.

Arizona bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 54 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 28 times in high leverage situations and also on 34 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 32 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accrued 17 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 53.3%, and they have dispatched 118 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 15 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 29 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .991 (3rd in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have accrued 341 assists, 12 errors and have accounted for 921 putouts so far this year. Out of their 2,763 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (12th in pro baseball).

Kelly (39-38 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.88 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and he has gone up against 2,530 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 264 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.226 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Kelly has conceded 568 base hits while he has accumulated 534 punch outs in 612 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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