Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-145) San Francisco (+120)

The San Francisco Giants (78-81) will play the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-61) at Oracle Park on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Los Angeles at -145 and San Francisco is priced at +120. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Clayton Kershaw and Kyle Harrison.

Los Angeles has a slugging % of .456 and have been called out on strikes 1,336 times, while drawing a walk on 639 occasions. They have 865 RBI's as well as 1,401 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is at .258. The Dodgers have hit 300 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 245 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 894 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .341. As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 5.6 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.07 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21. Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 196 home runs and 693 total runs (11th in the league). Los Angeles has conceded 1,274 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 646 earned runs. The Dodgers are sitting with a team ERA of 4.09 for the season (15th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,364 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 444 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.22 as a team this season.

The Dodgers relievers have earned a save rate of 71.7% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The relievers have inherited 201 runners so far this year with 26.4% of those runners crossed the plate. Dodgers pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 134 times and also have had 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have dispatched 543 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have racked up 88 holds for the year (10th in the league). They have accumulated 43 saves for the year and have blown 17 of 60 save opportunities.

The Dodgers have turned 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,783 innings, which ranks them 3rd in MLB. The Los Angeles Dodgers have notched a total of 4,261 putouts this year, in addition to 1,378 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball, and have a total of 137 double plays.

Kershaw has taken the ball for 2,707 innings and has accumulated 2,939 punch outs thus far in his career. Kershaw (210-91 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.81 and he has faced 10,661 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.48 (745 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.004. He has conceded 2,050 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 667 free passes.

The Giants hold a team slugging % of .385 and they score 4.20 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 255 doubles, while walking 534 times and recording 668 runs. San Francisco has knocked in 170 home runs on the campaign as well as 645 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,468 occasions (7th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,261 hits. The San Francisco Giants have accumulated an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .237 for the year.

The San Francisco pitching staff have allowed 707 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.02 (629 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 169 homers and they relinquish 4.52 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Giants have a WHIP of 1.259 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.91 as a pitching staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,336 strikeouts vs 398 free passes). They rank 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,374.

San Francisco relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.5% out of their 206 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 165 times in high leverage situations and on 150 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 149 save situations, the Giants have tallied 71 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. They rank 12th in MLB with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 489 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. San Francisco has called on relievers to enter the game in 76 save opportunities and they have walked away with 49 saves.

The San Francisco Giants have turned 140 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in baseball). The Giants have racked up 1,578 assists, 117 errors and have earned 4,223 putouts for the season. In 12,669 innings played, the Giants have a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (26th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Harrison has allowed 29 base knocks while accumulating 31 strikeouts in 29 frames. He has conceded a total of 16 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.281 and a FIP of 5.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.44 and he has faced 127 batters so far in his career. Harrison (1-1 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.85 ERA and has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-145)

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