Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-175) San Francisco (+145)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (99-61) are headed to Oracle Park on Sunday where they will take on the San Francisco Giants (78-82). The moneyline on this game has the Dodgers at -175 while the Giants are coming in at +145. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Ryan Pepiot and Kyle Harrison.

The Dodgers have accrued 301 doubles as a squad and have hit 248 balls out of the park. Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .457 and have struck out 1,345 times, while being walked on 639 occasions. As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are compiling 5.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 2nd in baseball. They have recorded 871 RBI's as well as 1,407 hits for the year, and their team batting average is .258. They have accounted for 900 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .341.

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The Dodgers hold a team earned run average of 4.08 for the year (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,371 hitters. Dodgers pitchers have yielded 197 home runs and also 695 total runs (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 450 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.22 as a squad on the year. Los Angeles has allowed 1,276 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 648 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.05 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Dodgers relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 71.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 149 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 201 base runners on the campaign with 26.4% of those runners crossed the plate. Dodgers pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 134 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have dispatched 546 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 88 holds so far this year (11th in MLB). They have compiled 43 saves this year and have blown 17 of their 60 save chances.

The Dodgers have converted 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,864 innings on the field, which has them ranked 2nd in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for 4,288 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,389 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 10th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 138 double plays.

Pepiot (5-1 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.47 while he has faced 305 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 51 hits (6.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 31 walks. His ERA is 2.63 (22 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.088. Pepiot has pitched in 75 innings and has accounted for 77 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Giants hold a slugging percentage of .384 and they tally 4.19 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have hit 255 two-baggers, while walking 540 times as well as racking up 670 runs. San Francisco has 171 HRs over the course of the season as well as 647 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,475 occasions (7th in baseball) and have a total of 1,263 hits. The San Francisco Giants have accounted for an OBP of .313 and a team batting average of .236 this season.

The San Francisco pitching staff have relinquished 713 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.04 (635 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 172 homers and they allow 4.53 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Giants are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,345 strikeouts vs 398 free passes). They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,380.

San Francisco has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 76 save chances and they have walked away with 49 saves. They sit at 12th in the league with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 490 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 165 times in high leverage situations in addition to 150 occasions with runners on base. San Francisco relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.5% out of their 206 inherited base runners. With 149 save situations, the Giants have earned 71 holds in addition to 27 blown saves.

In 12,750 innings on the diamond, the Giants have a efficiency on defense of 67.8% (26th in MLB). The San Francisco Giants have gotten 141 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Giants have recorded 1,592 assists, 117 errors and have accounted for 4,250 putouts this year.

Harrison (1-1 career win-loss mark) has a 4.85 ERA and has conceded 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.44 and he has gone up against 127 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 16 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.281 and a FIP of 5.7. So far in his career, Harrison has allowed 29 base hits while accumulating 31 K's in 29 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-175)

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