Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-115) San Diego (-105)

Petco Park is the location where the San Diego Padres (18-15) will try to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (19-14) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has Los Angeles at -115 and San Diego is priced at -105. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Julio Urias and Joe Musgrove.

As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are compiling 5.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 5th in the league. They have accounted for 184 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .331. The Dodgers have hit 58 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 54 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 180 RBI's in addition to 259 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .238. Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .455 and have struck out 314 times, while taking a walk on 148 occasions.

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The Dodgers are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.36 for the year (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 271 hitters. Dodgers pitchers have yielded 34 home runs in addition to 145 runs in total (16th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 94 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.14 as a squad on the year. Los Angeles has allowed 280 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 140 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Dodgers relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 70.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 25 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 62 runners on the season with 25.8% of those players ended up scoring. Dodgers relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 37 times as well as having 24 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have sent 109 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have 15 holds so far this season (18th in MLB). They have recorded 7 saves on the year and have blown 3 of 10 save opportunities.

The Dodgers have turned 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,601 innings, which has them ranked 18th in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a tally of 867 putouts on the year, as well as 284 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them ranked 12th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 26 double plays.

Urias has taken the ball for 639 innings and has earned 638 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Urias (53-20 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.50 while he has gone up against 2,595 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 2.89 (205 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.095. He has conceded 523 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 177 walks.

The San Diego Padres have tallied a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .236 on the season. They have been rung up on 294 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned a total of 254 hits. San Diego has tallied 39 HRs this year to go along with 136 runs batted in. The Padres have a team slugging percentage of .404 and they average 4.30 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have put up 59 doubles, while taking a walk 138 times and scoring 142 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have given up 142 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.24 (138 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 40 dingers and they concede 4.36 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Padres have a WHIP of 1.313 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.53 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.50 (277 strikeouts vs 112 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 273.

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Padres have earned 23 holds and also 5 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 18 save chances and they have come away with 13 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 19 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.9% out of 35 inherited runners. They sit at 7th in baseball with a save rate of 72.2%, and they have dispatched 99 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The San Diego Padres have turned 27 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .993 (1st in pro baseball). The Padres have racked up 310 assists, 9 errors and have 881 putouts for the season. In 2,643 innings on the diamond, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (12th in professional baseball).

Musgrove (51-54 career record) has a 3.86 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.93 and he has gone up against 3,615 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed 372 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.174 and a FIP of 3.8. In his career, Musgrove has given up 799 base knocks while accumulating 861 strikeouts in 867 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-115)

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