Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/5/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-166) Miami (+140)

loanDepot park is the site where the Miami Marlins (70-67) will try to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers (84-52) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Dodgers at -166 and the Marlins are at +140. The betting total comes in at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Clayton Kershaw and Jesus Luzardo.

As a squad, the Los Angeles Dodgers are notching 5.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 2nd in MLB. They have earned a total of 762 runs scored and hold an OBP of .341. The Dodgers have tallied 263 doubles as a squad and have smacked 213 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 738 RBI's in addition to 1,184 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .256. Los Angeles is slugging .458 and have been called out on strikes 1,148 times, while taking a walk on 558 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 163 long balls in addition to 596 total runs (14th in the league). Los Angeles has yielded 1,096 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 558 earned runs. The Dodgers are sitting with a team ERA of 4.14 on the year (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,143 hitters. They have walked 389 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.24 as a squad this season.

Dodgers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 115 times and also have had 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 78 holds for the season (11th in baseball). The Dodgers bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 74.1% and stepped onto the hill in 133 save situations. They have recorded 40 saves so far this year and have missed out on 14 of 54 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 178 runners so far this season and 27.5% of them earned a run for their team. The Dodgers have sent 469 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Dodgers have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,914 innings on the diamond, ranking them 5th in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for 3,638 putouts thus far, as well as 1,184 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which ranks 7th in baseball, and have earned 121 double plays.

Kershaw (209-91 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.80 while he has gone up against 10,604 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 2,041 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) with 658 free passes. His ERA is 2.48 (742 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.002. Kershaw has taken the ball for 2,693 innings and has accumulated 2,927 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Miami is sitting with 135 home runs so far this year and 530 RBIs. They have recorded 219 doubles, while getting a free base 351 times as well as earning 559 runs. The Miami Marlins are sitting with an OBP of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .260 on the season. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .402 and they have an average of 4.08 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,081 instances (26th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,212 base knocks.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 603 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.13 (559 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 161 homers and they concede 4.46 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.270 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (1,268 strikeouts against 428 walks). They sit at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,118.

Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.1% out of their 190 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 172 times in high leverage situations in addition to 135 occasions with base runners. With 141 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 80 holds and also 26 blown saves. They rank 22nd in MLB holding a save rate of 56.7%, and they have dispatched 453 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 60 save chances and they have tallied 34 saves.

In 10,956 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (19th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 126 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (24th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 1,210 assists, 80 errors and are sitting with 3,652 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his career, Luzardo has allowed 376 hits while totaling 468 strikeouts in 416 frames. Luzardo (22-26 mark in his career) has earned a 4.24 earned run average while surrendering 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 196 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.257 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and he has faced 1,750 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (+140) and under 7.5 runs

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