Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 10/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-148) Arizona (+124)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) are traveling to Chase Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78). The moneyline on this contest has Los Angeles at -148 while Arizona is priced at +124. The betting total comes in at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Lance Lynn and Brandon Pfaadt.

The Dodgers have accounted for 303 two-baggers as a team and have hit 249 baseballs out of the park. Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .455 and have been rung up 1,359 times, while taking a walk on 644 occasions. As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are notching 5.6 runs per outing, which is 2nd in baseball. They have 877 RBI's as well as 1,422 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is at .257. They have tallied 906 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .340.

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The Dodgers have a team ERA of 4.06 for the year (13th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,388 batters. Dodgers pitchers have yielded 200 long balls and also 699 runs in total (11th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 454 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.23 as a team so far this season. Los Angeles has allowed 1,284 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 652 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Dodgers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 72.1% and has entered the game in 150 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 203 base runners for the season with 26.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Dodgers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 135 times in addition to having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have dispatched 551 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 88 holds on the season (12th in MLB). They have recorded 44 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 of 61 chances to get a save.

The Dodgers have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 13,017 innings on the field, which has them ranked 2nd in pro baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have notched a total of 4,339 putouts this season, as well as 1,406 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 10th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 139 double plays.

Lynn (136-95 career mark) has a FIP of 3.79 and he has faced 8,009 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 1,743 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 660 walks. His ERA is 3.74 (784 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.272. Lynn has pitched in 1,889 innings and has totaled 1,906 punch outs in his career.

The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .408 and they are earning 4.60 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have tallied 274 two-baggers, while walking 540 times as well as putting up 746 runs. Arizona has accounted for 166 home runs so far this season as well as 706 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,247 occasions (27th in MLB) and have a total of 1,359 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks hold a team on-base percentage of .322 as well as a team batting average of .250 so far this year.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.324 in addition to having a FIP of 4.36 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts vs 525 free passes). They are currently ranked 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,375. They have allowed 197 home runs and they relinquish 4.77 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 761 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.47 (713 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 149 save situations, the Diamondbacks have amassed 76 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Arizona has had relievers step onto the mound in 71 save chances and they have tallied 44 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 166 occasions with runners on base. Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.2% out of their 235 inherited runners. They rank 15th in the league holding a save rate of 62.0%, and they have sent 547 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

Out of their 12,918 innings played, the Diamondbacks hold a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (14th in the majors). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 134 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in the majors). The Diamondbacks have accrued 1,399 assists, 56 errors and have earned 4,306 putouts on the season.

Pfaadt (3-9 career win-loss record) has earned a 5.72 ERA and has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.62 and he has faced 421 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 61 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.406 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.2. So far in his career, Pfaadt has surrendered 109 base knocks while tallying 94 strikeouts in 96 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Arizona (+124) and under 9.5 runs

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