Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+160) Toronto (-190)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (78-63) will try to defeat the Kansas City Royals (44-98) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Royals at +160 and the Blue Jays are coming in at -190. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Cole Ragans and Jose Berrios.

The Royals have recorded 232 doubles as a unit and have knocked 142 balls out of the stadium. Kansas City has a slugging rate of .397 and have struck out 1,215 times, while drawing a walk on 351 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 4.1 runs/g, which has them sitting at 27th in baseball. They have earned 557 RBI's and 1,158 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is at .243. They have earned a total of 578 runs scored and have an OBP of .301.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.33 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41. Royals pitchers have surrendered 185 long balls and 758 total runs (28th in the league). Kansas City has surrendered 1,264 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 715 earned runs. The Royals hold a team earned run average of 5.21 for the season (28th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,116 batters. They have walked 478 opposing players and their FIP is 4.73 as a unit so far this season.

The Royals bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 47.5% and stepped onto the hill in 92 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 runners for the season with 37.7% of them ended up scoring. Royals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 98 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have dispatched 461 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have racked up 52 holds on the season (29th in baseball). They have 19 saves this year and have blown 21 out of their 40 chances to save the game.

The Kansas City Royals have accounted for 3,705 putouts this season, as well as 1,226 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 13th in MLB, and they have turned 109 double plays. The Royals have transformed 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,115 innings, ranking them 24th in the majors.

Ragans (6-7 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.60 while he has faced 464 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 98 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 41 free passes. His ERA is 3.70 (46 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.241. Ragans has thrown 112 frames and is sitting with 114 strikeouts in his career.

The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .420 and they score 4.61 runs per contest (16th in the league). They have put up 258 two-baggers, while walking 482 times and putting up 650 runs. Toronto has 163 home runs so far this season and 619 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,127 occasions (24th in baseball) and have tallied 1,262 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for a team OBP of .333 as well as a batting average of .260 on the season.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.238 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a unit for the year. They come in at 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,143. The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 576 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.72 (520 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (1,323 strikeouts vs 416 bases on balls). They have conceded 172 long balls and they relinquish 4.12 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball).

Toronto relievers have an inherited score rate of 22.0% of 214 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 172 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 156 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 92 holds and also 16 blown saves. They are ranked 2nd in MLB with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 478 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 64 save chances and they have come away with 48 saves.

In 11,331 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (12th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 109 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in the majors). The Blue Jays have 1,125 assists, 66 errors and have amassed 3,777 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Berrios has conceded 1,124 hits while tallying 1,159 punch outs in 1,187 innings pitched. Berrios (81-64 career win-loss mark) has a 4.16 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 549 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.248 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.24 and he has faced 5,021 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-190)

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