Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+155) Minnesota (-180)

The Minnesota Twins (42-43) will take on the Kansas City Royals (25-59) at Target Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Kansas City at +155 and Minnesota is at -180. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zack Greinke and Kenta Maeda.

Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .372 and have struck out 758 times, while taking a walk on 225 occasions. They have 304 RBI's and 654 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .233. The Royals have accounted for 133 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 73 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 319 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .298. As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are earning 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in baseball.

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The Royals have compiled a team ERA of 5.20 this year (28th in MLB), and they have struck out 675 hitters. Royals pitchers have given up 96 home runs in addition to 450 total runs (28th in MLB). They have walked 309 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.53 as a team for the season. Kansas City has surrendered 742 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and also 424 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.18 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.43.

The Royals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and has come into the game in 49 save situations. The relievers have inherited 95 runners this season with 40.0% of those players earned a run for their team. Royals relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 57 times in addition to having 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have dispatched 277 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have earned 25 holds for the year (28th in the league). They have recorded 12 saves this season and have blown 12 out of their 24 chances to get a save.

The Royals have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,600 innings, which has them sitting 24th in professional baseball. The Kansas City Royals are sitting with 2,200 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 707 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them sitting 14th in baseball, and they have turned 63 double plays.

Greinke has thrown 3,334 innings and has tallied 2,943 K's in his career. His ERA is 3.47 (1,285 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.170. He has surrendered 3,149 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 752 walks. Greinke (224-149 career record) holds a FIP of 3.50 while going up against 13,650 batters in the major leagues.

Minnesota has tallied 108 long balls this season as well as 336 runs batted in. They have recorded 138 doubles, while walking 279 times as well as putting up 353 runs. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .308 and a team batting average of .231 this year. The Twins have a team slugging percentage of .399 and they score 4.15 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have struck out on 867 instances (1st in MLB) and have totaled 661 base hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.167 and have a FIP of 3.69 as a team this season. They rank 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 647. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 322 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.60 (304 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (803 strikeouts against 239 bases on balls). They have surrendered 86 dingers and they yield 3.82 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

With 76 save situations, the Twins have accumulated 42 holds and 16 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relievers to enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have walked away with 18 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 86 times in high leverage situations and on 63 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.2% of 86 inherited base runners. They are ranked 26th in the league holding a save rate of 52.9%, and they have dispatched 248 relievers onto the field for the year.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 59 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (18th in the majors). The Twins have 655 assists, 44 errors and have amassed 2,277 putouts on the campaign. In their 6,831 innings on the field, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (7th in pro baseball).

Maeda (60-46 career mark) has a 3.95 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.79 and he has gone up against 3,243 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 346 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.147 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. In his pro baseball career, Maeda has surrendered 677 base hits while he has accumulated 860 punch outs in 788 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+155)

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