Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 4/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+175) Minnesota (-205)

The Minnesota Twins (15-11) will compete against the Kansas City Royals (6-20) at Target Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Kansas City at +175 and Minnesota opens at -205. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Brad Keller and Sonny Gray.

Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .339 and have been called out on strikes 238 times, while being walked on 58 occasions. They have 77 RBI's in addition to 185 hits so far this year, and their team batting average comes in at .215. The Royals have recorded 38 doubles as a unit and have knocked 19 balls out of the park. They have earned 83 runs and have an on-base percentage of .271. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 3.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 29th in MLB.

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The Royals have a team earned run average of 5.38 for the year (28th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 216 batters. Royals pitchers have conceded 36 long balls and 142 total runs (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 83 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.75 as a unit on the campaign. Kansas City has conceded 238 base knocks (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 136 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41.

The Royals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 12 save situations. The relievers have inherited 23 base runners on the campaign and 47.8% of them earned a run for their team. Royals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 14 times and also have had 16 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have sent 83 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have notched 5 holds on the campaign (28th in the league). They have earned 4 saves this year and have blown 3 of 7 save chances.

The Royals have transformed 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,049 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball. The Kansas City Royals have amassed 683 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 212 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .991 which puts them in 3rd in professional baseball, and they have twisted 20 double plays.

Keller has taken the ball for 658 innings and has 495 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 4.24 (310 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.415. He has conceded 655 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) with 277 free passes. Keller (37-51 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.23 while he has gone up against 2,845 hitters in the major leagues.

Minnesota is sitting with 33 long balls so far this season and 111 runs batted in. They have recorded 39 doubles, while walking 75 times and putting up 116 runs. The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .304 in addition to a team batting average of .234 so far this season. The Twins hold a slugging % of .404 and they are scoring 4.46 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have been rung up on 244 occasions (4th in the league) and have recorded 203 base hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.090 in addition to having a FIP of 3.51 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.90 (256 strikeouts against 64 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 188. They have given up 26 homers and they concede 3.70 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 95 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.43 (88 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 28 save situations, the Twins have recorded 17 holds and 4 blown saves. Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 11 save chances and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 23 times in high leverage situations and also on 12 occasions with base runners. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.6% out of their 14 inherited runners. They are ranked 14th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 70 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 19 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (20th in pro baseball). The Twins have recorded 204 assists, 13 errors and have a total of 695 putouts on the season. Out of their 2,085 innings on the diamond, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (8th in pro baseball).

In his career, Gray has conceded 1,212 hits while tallying 1,372 strikeouts in 1,416 innings. He has given up 551 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.209 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.74 and he has faced 5,890 batters thus far in his career. Gray (93-77 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.50 earned run average and has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+175)

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